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Top Plays Primer

You don’t have to play cash games to understand why it’s important to grasp them. Players we consider for cash are the ones we believe are the most underpriced, have the best floor/ceiling combo and feature a relatively tight range of outcomes. In other words, these are the best plays on the board once price, slate context and positional depth is accounted for. Those sound like pretty good options for GPPs as well.

The optimal GPP lineup will mix some of these cash-type plays with higher-variance options. In cash games (where roughly 50% of the field gets paid out), we don’t worry about ownership or game stacks or correlation. In large-field tournaments, our ACO (average cumulative ownership) should stay reasonably low.

With all that said, these are our Top Plays considering the following factors: Median projection, matchup, upside and value. Ownership is not considered here. Generally speaking, these players are what we consider to be “head-to-head and 50/50 considerations.” They are listed in price descending order (NOT ranked by “best play”). At the bottom, you’ll find suggested rankings by site once salary is accounted for.

 

Injuries

*Ersan Ilyasova (elbow) – Out
*Mo Bamba (covid) – Out
*Michael Carter-Williams (foot) – Doubtful
*Aaron Gordon (hamstring) – Questionable
*Jonathan Isaac (knee) – Out
*T.J. Warren (foot) – Questionable
*Derrick Jones Jr. (neck) – Questionable
*Russell Westbrook (quad) – Out
*Luguentz Dort (knee) – Out
*Anthony Davis (knee) – Probable
*LeBron James (groin) – Probable
*Rajon Rondo (thumb) – Doubtful
*Zach Collins (ankle) – Out
*C.J. McCollum (back) – Available
*Nassir Little (dehydration) – Out

 

Point Guard

Eric Bledsoe ($5,400 DK/$5,800 FD) – Bledsoe’s price tag is down because he returned to the bubble late and was eased back in with a minutes restriction. Bledsoe got up to 30 minutes in the second-to-last seeding game which is right around what he averaged in competitive playoff series last season. Bledsoe is typically priced in the $6,000s with this playing time expectation. Given Bledsoe doesn’t typically rely on heavy minutes to get his production, the blowout risk (12-point favorites) is less of an issue for Bledsoe. The Bucks have the highest implied total on the slate (118.5) and Bledsoe is one of the cheaper ways to access their production.

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