Chicago @ Atlanta
Team Totals: Falcons 26.5, Bears 23.5
Bears-Falcons profiles as a run-heavy affair between teams that rank first (Chicago) and second (Atlanta) in rushing yards. On the fast track indoors at Atlanta’s Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Justin Fields appears set for another eruption after banking fantasy finishes of QB5 (@ NE), QB5 (@ DAL), QB1 (vs. MIA), and QB1 (vs. DET) in his last four starts. OC Luke Getsy’s aggressive commitment to dialing up designed runs for Fields is keeping him matchup-proof. … Khalil Herbert’s (hip) loss to I.R. affords David Montgomery every-down upside against a Falcons defense yielding the league’s ninth most fantasy points to running backs. Rookie receiving specialist Trestan Ebner figures to stand in as Chicago’s No. 2 back and is worth stashing in most season-long leagues. Either way, I’m confidently firing up Montgomery as an RB1/2 here. … Atlanta’s allowance of the NFL’s second-most fantasy wide receiver points supports Darnell Mooney as a WR3 starter, while Mooney continues to pace Chicago in targets (56), catches (36), yards (464), and first-down conversions (19) on passes from Fields. … The Falcons have permitted the NFL’s third-most receptions (59) and third-most yards (588) to tight ends, positioning TD-hot Cole Kmet to stay usable here. Getsy is proactively designing plays for Kmet in close; Kmet leads the Bears in red-zone targets (7) and targets inside the 10 (4). … Through two games as a Bear, Chase Claypool’s snap rates are 35% and 31%, resulting in four combined touches. He can’t be trusted beyond desperate WR4/flex scenarios.
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