Chicago @ New Orleans
Team Totals: Saints 28.75, Bears 18.75
The Bears look overmatched in Week 18’s visit to the Superdome, facing a Saints team that has yielded the league’s fifth-fewest points per game (21.1) and eighth-fewest fantasy QB points and ranks No. 1 in Football Outsiders’ DVOA. (Chicago ranks 15th.) During his relative Weeks 12-17 hot stretch, Mitchell Trubisky faced pressure at the NFL’s sixth-lowest rate (25.1%) among 39 qualified QBs against a cupcake schedule that included Jacksonville, Houston, Minnesota, Detroit, and Green Bay. New Orleans’ defense ranks sixth in Sack Rate (7.5%) and third in QB Hit Rate (18.8%) and from a talent standpoint is capable of dominating Chicago’s sub-average offensive line. Trubisky is a low-probability, highly-contrarian DFS-tournament play. … David Montgomery overcame negative Week 17 game script and poor rushing efficiency to deliver yet another top-five RB1 score via sheer volume at Green Bay.