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Tampa Bay @ Las Vegas
Team Totals: Bucs 28.25, Raiders 25.25

Tom Brady visits Sin City with a high-floor, somewhat high-ceiling résumé having banked top-20 fantasy finishes in 5-of-6 starts and top-10 outcomes in 3-of-6 facing a Raiders defense missing tone-setter SS Johnathan Abram (Covid) and first-round CB Damon Arnette (Covid) after yielding top-six QB1 scores to Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes in consecutive games. On the year, only five NFL defenses are allowing more points per game than the Raiders’ (30.4). Brady projects to experience squeaky-clean pockets at Las Vegas, which ranks bottom seven in Sack Rate (3.8%) and bottom six in QB Hit Rate (13.6%), while Brady has completed 76.1% of his passes with a sterling 13:3 TD-to-INT ratio when kept clean. … Even with Leonard Fournette, LeSean McCoy, and Ke’Shawn Vaughn all expected to be available behind him, Ronald Jones has earned Bucs lead-back duties with three straight 100-plus-yard rushing games.

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