Arizona @ Philadelphia
Team Totals: Eagles 30, Cardinals 19
Kyler Murray’s fantasy finishes through six 2023 starts are QB20 (vs. SF), QB18 (@ PIT), QB9 (vs. LAR), QB6 (@ HOU), QB13 (vs. ATL), and QB12 (@ CHI). Murray hasn’t thrown more than two TD passes or cleared 260 passing yards once. Week 17’s matchup offers all kinds of opportunities to break those trends — Philly has submitted the NFL’s second-most fantasy points to quarterbacks — rendering Kyler a matchup-driven QB1 bet. … Over Arizona’s last three games, James Conner is averaging 19.7 touches for 102 yards and 1.3 TDs. Yet Emari Demercado is dominating passing-down work — he out-targeted Conner 8 to 5 in Week 16 — and the Cardinals are nearly three-score road dogs facing one of the league’s premier run defenses. Conner is a low-confidence RB2/flex option at risk of playing-time loss should Arizona fall behind early. … Demercado is strictly a passing-down role player whenever Conner is healthy.
Murray’s 2023 target distribution: Trey McBride 53; Greg Dortch 28; Marquise Brown 24; Rondale Moore 20; Conner 18; Elijah Higgins 14; Michael Wilson 13; Demercado 11.
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