Atlanta @ Tampa Bay
Team Totals: Falcons 24.5, Bucs 22
I bet the over on this game’s total at 46/46.5 with Tampa allowing the NFL’s fifth-most points per game (26.0) and Atlanta coughing up the league’s 11th most (24.1). This is a rise-up spot for Kirk Cousins against the Bucs, who are missing top CB Jamel Dean (hamstring, I.R.) while permitting the NFL’s second-most fantasy quarterback points. … On a roll lately, Bijan Robinson is averaging 5.4 yards per carry, 19 touches, and 108.3 yards over Atlanta’s last three games. Tampa Bay never presents a plus draw for enemy running backs, but Bijan looks to be hitting his workload and efficiency strides ahead of Sunday’s critical division game. … As Atlanta spent Week 7’s loss to Seattle playing from behind, Robinson out-snapped Tyler Allgeier 50 to 17 and out-touched Allgeier 24 to 6. The Falcons realize Robinson is their go-to back in critical situations. Allgeier is a low-floor flex option here.
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