Green Bay @ Indianapolis
Team Totals: Colts 26.75, Packers 24.25
Aaron Rodgers visits Lucas Oil Stadium for one of his toughest to-date tests; just 1-of-10 quarterbacks to face Indianapolis has finished above QB13, while Colts DC Matt Eberflus’ smothering zone defense has yielded the league’s lowest passer rating (78.9) and second-fewest touchdown passes (11). This game’s indoor environment combined with Rodgers’ largely matchup-proof 2020 performance keeps him in season-long-league QB1 territory, albeit not without concerns over his ceiling. Indy stymied Baltimore and Tennessee’s talented offenses for a combined 41 points in its last two games, and not a single opponent has topped 300 passing yards against the Colts this year. … No pushover in run defense either, Eberflus’ unit has stacked up enemy backs for 4.32 yards per carry, an anemic 101.2 total-yards average, and seven TDs in nine games. Scoreless since Week 6 with positive-TD regression forthcoming, Aaron Jones is a bet-on-talent RB1/2 play.