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Seattle @ New Orleans

Team Totals: Saints 25.5, Seahawks 20.5

I’m expecting Week 5 to be the point at which Geno Smith’s hot start stops, facing a Saints defense yielding the NFL’s fifth lowest completion rate (58%) and tenth fewest yards per pass attempt (6.2). This game also offers limited shootout potential with Andy Dalton on the other side. … Rashaad Penny continues to lap second-round rookie Kenneth Walker, who popped up on the injury report with a shoulder ailment this week. In last Sunday’s win over Detroit, Penny out-snapped Walker 45 to 25 and out-touched him 18 to 9. Over his last ten games, Penny has a piping-hot 151/998/8 (6.6 YPC) rushing line. The Saints are no pushover run-defense matchup – they’ve held enemy RBs to the NFL’s eighth fewest fantasy points – but Penny has earned RB2 treatment by clearly winning Seattle’s lead-back job.

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