Houston @ Indianapolis
Team Totals: Colts 29, Texans 21.5
Expected to get back Brandin Cooks (neck) and David Johnson (Covid contact), Deshaun Watson looks to rebound from last Sunday’s speedbump at Soldier Field against an Indianapolis defense that’s sprung leaks lately, conceding top-14 fantasy finishes to each of its last four quarterbacks faced, including three top-10 scores. Yet Watson’s last four results against Colts DC Matt Eberflus’ unit are QB14, QB11, QB17, and QB16, while Watson’s supporting cast has never been weaker than it is now. His pass protection failing lately, Watson profiles as a boom-bust fantasy bet with 11 sacks absorbed over his last two starts. Indianapolis’ D/ST is very much in play. … Despite Johnson’s return, more struggles for Houston’s run game seem likely here; Eberflus’ group has permitted the league’s 10th-fewest fantasy running back points and ninth-fewest receiving yards to Johnson’s position (416). Johnson has totaled 100 yards in just one of his last eight games. He’s a low-floor, low-ceiling RB2/flex play with touchdown dependency.
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