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12:30 PM ET Game

Houston @ Detroit
Team Totals: Texans 27, Lions 24

Winners of two of their last three almost solely on the back of Deshaun Watson, the Texans visit domed Ford Field for Thanksgiving’s highest-totaled affair. Fantasy’s overall QB4 in per-game points since Bill O’Brien’s pre-Week 5 firing, Watson gets back LT Laremy Tunsil (illness) against a Lions defense already supplying enemy quarterbacks with clean pockets by ranking bottom six in Sack Rate (3.8%) and dead last in QB Hit Rate (11.4%). Per PFF, Watson’s QB rating flies from 76.6 when pressured (14th among 40 qualifiers) to 118.6 (fifth) when clean. Up to seventh in QB rushing yards (269) with his matchup improved by Lions first-round CB Jeff Okudah’s (shoulder) probable absence, Watson is Turkey Day’s clear-cut top quarterback play. … A big to-date disappointment in Houston’s feature back role, Duke Johnson gets at least one more shot before David Johnson (concussion, I.R.) becomes eligible to return. Likely to play Thursday’s game without DT Da’Shawn Hand (groin), the Lions’ defense has hemorrhaged the NFL’s most fantasy running back points keyed by a whopping 19 all-purpose touchdowns and 4.68 yards per carry allowed.

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