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Just as our Adam Levitan does each week during the NFL season, every Monday we’ll be using the week-long nature of DFS golf to take advantage of the extended feedback loop by analyzing what went right and what went wrong in the previous week’s slate, regardless of results.

Each week, we’ll review a variety of cash-game & GPP lineups in an effort to take you inside our thought process as we approached Thursday’s lock and how our projection- and ownership-based expectations stacked up against the field.

 

DraftKings Small-Field Tournament

 

The 2024 PGA season kicked off with a 72nd-hole heartbreak for me in tournaments, as Xander Schauffele’s 230-yard approach on 18 Sunday afternoon would leave him a 2-foot, 5-inch putt for an eagle that he would knock in to bump me out of first and into a two-way tie for second with PGA DFS legend cantfademe, whose lineup shared just two of the same golfers as mine. While we came up short, I was encouraged to start the year with a profitable week while seeing a lot of familiar names scattered atop the GPP leaderboards. Let’s take a look at this team in the $44 buy-in Club Twirl:

 

We were immediately faced with a difficult decision at the top of the board with the slate’s most expensive golfer, Scottie Scheffler ($11,000), also checking in with the slate’s highest overall base projection and highest value on DraftKings. Unlike most full-field events that we’ll see throughout the course of the season, there were legitimate options at or near the stone minimum on DraftKings and even more in the low- to mid-$7K range, something that won’t always be available. As a result, it became pretty clear as we approached Thursday morning’s lock that Scheffler would be a comfortable click, even at 28.6% projected ownership in large-field tournaments. Checking in at 36.0% in the $20 buy-in flagship, Scheffler flipped at 37.7% in the $200 buy-in Driver, our proxy for small-field ownership, making him a less interesting play.

Take Your DFS Golf Game To The Next Level.

Our DFS Golf subscription was created to prepare you with the highest-quality resources for the 2025 golf season.

This subscription includes advanced simulation-based projections (mean and ceiling) powered by cutting-edge statistical modeling, data-driven projected made-cut odds for each golfer, DFS ownership projections, weekly live shows, and much more. It includes content from Adam Levitan, Cody Main, Skylar Hoke, and the rest of our Golf team.

Learn more about taking your DFS Golf game to the next level.

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