Winning and transparency are the main goals of the ETR props product, and in this space, we aim to peel back the curtain on our process and shed some light on what goes into both our player projections and how we actually select picks. We hope that sharing this with you will help you better understand how to attack these markets yourself. Let’s dive into Week 16.
Week 16 officials: 7-10, -$508
Week 16 alts: 1-2, +$62
Overall officials: 172-138, +$2,082; +6.22% ROI
Overall alts: 13-165, -$347; -18.06% ROI
Elic Ayomanor U2.5 Receptions -114 (3, L)
Mean proj: 2.3
The rookie had seen a drop-off in routes in recent weeks, plunging to 66% in his last game after being north of 80% and even 90% for most of the year.
Yet this line was a pretty normal one for him, and didn’t really reflect his shrinking role, which saw him register just one catch in each of his last three games.
That role continued to shrink this week, with Ayomanor bottoming out at a 56% route rate, his lowest of the season.
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