Winning and transparency are the main goals of the ETR props product, and in this space, we aim to peel back the curtain on our process and shed some light on what goes into both our player projections and how we actually select picks. We hope that sharing this with you will help you better understand how to attack these markets yourself.
Let’s dive into Week 5.
Week 5 officials: 8-8, -$85
Week 5 alts: 1-14, +$11
Overall officials: 61-34, +$2,390; +22.65% ROI
Overall alts: 6-83, -$80; -10.41% ROI
Javonte Williams O12.5 Longest Rush -112 (66, W)
Median proj: 14
While matchups and player efficiency enter the equation, Longest Rush props are still mainly a function of volume, and Williams was set to be as busy as any back this week with a Rushing Attempts line of 16.5.
With that kind of expected volume, you’d historically expect Williams’ longest rush line to be set closer to the average of 14.5 or 15.5, but 12.5 was abnormally low, and nothing about this matchup nor his efficiency suggested it should be so. Only one runner lined at 16.5 attempts has had a Longest Rush line lower than this over the last two years.
Cooper Rush O28.5 Passing Attempts -115 (20, L)
ETR NFL Player Props
Our team includes renowned fantasy analysts Evan Silva and Adam Levitan, high-stakes professional DFS players, and specialists who cover niche areas that we believe are important to understand.
This team has an unmatched ability to project NFL player performance, allowing us to offer a high-quality player props recommendations to serious bettors.
Our NFL Player Props subscription unlocks this content, read on for more information.
Full Details » Already a subscriber? Log In
