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Winning and transparency are the main goals of the ETR props product, and in this space, we aim to peel back the curtain on our process and shed some light on what goes into both our player projections and how we actually select picks. We hope that sharing this with you will help you better understand how to attack these markets yourself.

Let’s dive into Week 7.

 

Week 7 officials: 10-9, +$163

Week 7 alts: 0-7, -$55

Overall officials: 84-54, +$2,764; +18.27% ROI

Overall alts: 7-98, -$86; -9.69% ROI

 

Elic Ayomanor U3.5 Receptions -114 (2, W)

Mean proj: 3.2

Some uncertainty surrounded Ayomanor and the Titans in general this week. He could potentially get a bump with Calvin Ridley out, and it was the first week under interim head coach Mike McCoy. But with their same play-caller still in place, we didn’t anticipate significant changes to the offense, and there were a few reasons to like a fade on the rookie despite Ridley’s absence.

He’s a low catch-rate player with a deeper ADOT who runs 90% of his routes outside, and he was sure to draw plenty of attention from New England shutdown corner Christian Gonzalez.

Even if the volume was higher this week, it was a tough setup, and he didn’t come close despite a trailing game script. 

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