For most of the year, I ground my ownership projections against Circa’s main tournament, but once we get to a point where there are only a few entries left in Circa, I do a broader ownership projection. Given that, I will expand on ownership talk for several teams in their individual game write-ups.
Below, I’ll discuss multiple games, listed from highest projected ownership to least for teams with at least 1% projected ownership. I’ll go through the full slate first, before breaking down the holiday slate separately.
As always, I will check in via the survivor pool channel in Discord to discuss any updates I have on any matchup. If you have any questions, get them into Discord by midnight ET on Saturday.
Bengals vs. Cardinals
Spread: Bengals -7
Total: 53.5
Ownership: 38%
Expect at least two-thirds of entries that still have the Bengals available to play them in this spot. In formats where you must pick two teams this week, expect most, if not all, entries that still have Cincinnati to use them.
From a pure matchup standpoint, I’m comfortable taking Joe Burrow against Jacoby Brissett’s reeling Cardinals. I’d also prefer to take the Bengals here rather than next week given Cleveland’s pass rush and familiarity with Cincinnati. That playable matchup with the Browns next week could keep Bengals ownership much more manageable on this slate in tournaments where you only have to pick one team.
Week 18 Matchup: vs. CLE
Cowboys at Commanders (Christmas)
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