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Once again, the Preparing for the Playoffs portion of the waiver column will be getting its own expanded release on Wednesday.  If you have a major decision looming for your fantasy team that you’d like to discuss, feel free to contact me on Twitter @RyanReynNJ or via email at [email protected]

Week 13 Waiver Wire

Quarterback.

  1. Nick Foles – 10% FAAB Budget
  2. Sam Darnold – 10%
  3. Daniel Jones – 6% (Average Week 13 matchup, appealing future matchups)
  4. Andy Dalton – 5%
  5. Kyle Allen – 3%
  6. Jacoby Brissett – 3%
  7. Ryan Tannehill – 3%
  8. Ryan Fitzpatrick – 2%

 

Running Backs
Note: If Jonathan Williams is available in your league, Marlon Mack is set to miss at least one more game and Williams had 104 yards on 26 carries in Week 12.

  1. LeSean McCoy – 25% FAAB Budget
  2. Rashaad Penny – 20%
  3. Darrel Williams – 15%
  4. Benny Snell – 15%
  5. Bo Scarbrough – 10%
  6. Brian Hill – 10%
  7. Adrian Peterson – 8%
  8. Tony Pollard – 5%
  9. Alexander Mattison – 5%
  10. Frank Gore – 4%
  11. Jeff Wilkins – 3%
  12. Chase Edmonds – 3%
  13. Chris Thompson – 2%

 

Wide Receivers
Note: In league’s where Will Fuller is still available, he would top this list and warrant aggressive pursuit.

  1. Sterling Shepard – 25% FAAB Budget
  2. Robby Anderson – 10%
  3. A.J. Green – 10% (Get aggressive if he trends towards being active)
  4. Randall Cobb – 8%
  5. Darius Slayton – 8%
  6. Anthony Miller – 6%
  7. A.J. Brown – 5%
  8. Corey Davis – 5%
  9. Chris Conley – 5%
  10. Mecole Hardman – 5%
  11. Cole Beasley – 3%
  12. Russell Gage – 3%
  13. James Washington – 3%
  14. Geronimo Allison – 3%
  15. Allen Lazard – 3%
  16. Jakobi Meyers – 2%
  17. N’Keal Harry – 2%
  18. JJ Arcega-Whiteside – 2%
  19. Javon Wims – 1%
  20. Christian Blake – 1%

 

Tight End

  1. Ryan Griffin – 10% FAAB Budget
  2. Jack Doyle – 10%
  3. Noah Fant – 8%
  4. Mike Gesicki – 5%
  5. David Njoku – 3%
  6. Kaden Smith – 3%
  7. Jaeden Graham – 3%

 

Defenses

  1. Eagles – 5% FAAB Budget
  2. Panthers – 4%
  3. Packers– 3%
  4. Chargers – 3%
  5. Jets – 1%

 

Kickers

  1. Mason Crosby – 2% FAAB Budget
  2. Josh Lambo – 1%

 

Drop Considerations

QB: Mason Rudolph, Ryan Finley, Jeff Driskel, Mitch Trubisky, Philip Rivers
RB: Kalen Ballage, Royce Freeman
WR: DeSean Jackson, Hunter Renfrow, Kenny Stills
TE: Eric Ebron, Vance McDonald, Jason Witten

 

Quarterback.

  1. Nick Foles, QB, Jaguars, 10% FAAB Budget: Foles has a high upside matchup as a slight home favorite (1 ½ points) against the Buccaneers, in Week 13’s second-highest game total (49 ½). Since Foles return from injury in Week 11, he has 568 yards passing over his past two contests.  While that standard form of production provides some level of optimism for fantasy purposes, it should be noted that Jacksonville lost both of those games by 20 or more points and Foles numbers have been inflated by those negative game scripts.  Regardless, Foles matchup against the Buccaneers vulnerable pass defense makes him a strong streaming option for this week, while doubling as a long-term option with appealing matchups through the fantasy playoffs.
  1. Sam Darnold, QB, Jets, 10%: Darnold is officially on a roll, posting three consecutive QB1 finishes of 21.7, 26.42, and most recently 31.2 Draft Kings points. In Week 13, Darnold and the Jets draw another appealing matchup as 3 ½ point road favorites against the winless Bengals in Cincinnati.  Now that Andy Dalton has been announced as the starter for the Bengals heading into this matchup, the chances of both offenses pushing this contest beyond it’s currently meager 41-point game total are on the rise.  Darnold also has an excellent Week 14 matchup as the Jets host the Dolphins.
  1. Daniel Jones, QB, Giants, 6%: Jones and the Giants are 6-point home underdogs against the Packers with an implied team total of 20-points in Week 13. In addition to the Giants being significant home dogs against Green Bay, this game sets up as a bounce back spot for Aaron Rodgers and the Packers; which makes the path to fantasy upside for Jones reliant on stat accumulation in a negative game script or the Giants offense exceeding expectations in a neutral game script.  Ultimately, Week 13’s contest with the Packers is a volatile matchup for Jones that comes with both a low floor with multiple turnovers and a realistic path to a high ceiling.  Moving forward, the Giants have appealing matchups from Weeks 14 through 16.  Those matchups will be discussed further in the Preparing for the Playoffs column that will be posted on Wednesday.
  1. Andy Dalton, QB, Bengals, 5%: Dalton has been named the starter heading into Week 13’s matchup with the Jets, which has already moved the game total up from 39 to 41. While the Bengals are 3 ½ point home underdogs in a contest with a modest game total, the Jets have been much better at defending the run than the pass in 2019.  Further, the struggling Bengals offensive line will benefit from facing a mediocre Jets pass rush.  All of these conditions create a reasonable path for Dalton to exceed expectations this Sunday, especially if J. Green finally returns from injury to face a beatable Jets secondary.
  1. Kyle Allen, QB, Panthers, 3%: After a disastrous Week 11, Allen played very well in Carolina’s near upset of the Saints in New Orleans last week. In Week 13, the Panthers host the Redskins as 10-point home favorites with an implied team total of 25-points.  If you’re considering Allen this week, he is a volatile week-to-week performer in an excellent matchup as a significant home favorite.  However, there is also a very real chance that the Panthers defense limits the Redskins offense throughout this contest to the point that it reduces Carolina’s need to throw the ball.  Reducing passing volume in a comfortable win makes for a very clear path to failure for Allen in this appealing spot.
  1. Jacoby Brissett, QB, Colts, 3%: The Colts passing game was not very effective last Thursday Night against the Texans in a game that had massive implications in the AFC South race. Perhaps more alarmingly, Colts head coach Frank Reich tried to grind that big game out on the ground, instead of entrusting Brissett to go win it.  In Week 13, the Colts have another game with major playoff implications, as they host the Titans as 3-point home favorites with an implied team total of 23-points.  If you’re considering Brissett in any format, it’s in your best interest to check in on Y. Hilton’s status after his underwhelming return from injury last week.  If Hilton is off the injury report heading into Sunday, playing Brissett would come with more optimism.
  1. Ryan Tannehill, QB, Titans, 3%: Tannehill has been excellent since taking over for Marcus Mariota, as Tannehill has posted top-15 fantasy scores in all five of his starts while putting up an eye-popping 33.36 Draft Kings points last week against the Jaguars. While we should not expect Tannehill to consistently shred opposing defenses with 300-yard games through the air, Tannehill also brings value as a runner, which was on full display last week as he ran for 40 yards and 2 scores.  While Week 13’s matchup against the Colts as 3-point road underdogs is an average matchup, Tannehill has appealing matchups in Oakland for Week 14 and at home versus the Texans in Week 15.
  1. Ryan Fitzpatrick, QB, Dolphins, 2%: The primary appeal in rostering Fitzpatrick is that Miami simply cannot run the ball and they consistently play from behind, which has led to Fitzpatrick having 33 or more passing attempts in each of his last 6 games. While volume is what we’re looking for in fantasy, in Week 13 the Dolphins face an Eagles pass rush that could easily derail this game.  On the other hand, the Eagles secondary, which has been much improved recently, has been shredded by the likes of Case Keenum this season.  So, if you’re considering Fitzpatrick in a deep league or two quarterback format, his range of outcomes in this particular contest is very volatile.

 

Running Backs
Note: If Jonathan Williams is available in your league, Marlon Mack is set to miss at least one more game and Williams had 104 yards on 26 carries in Week 12.

  1. LeSean McCoy, RB, Chiefs, 25% FAAB Budget: McCoy’s future value is largely dependent on the status of running back Damien Williams, who suffered a rib injury before the Chiefs Week 12 bye. As of this writing, Williams injury status remains uncertain heading into Week 13.  There is also some uncertainty involving McCoy’s role in the Chiefs elite offense regardless of Williams’ status.  Back in Week 10, McCoy was a healthy scratch against the Titans.  Head coach Andy Reid later referred to that decision as a “load management” strategy because McCoy is “not getting any younger.”  While that line of thinking could lead to McCoy getting another unexpected inactive or massive reduction in playing time in any given week going forward, it does indicate that Reid views McCoy as a valuable piece in the offense that is worth getting ready for the games that really count in January.  If Damien Williams is set to miss time, McCoy will enter some form of timeshare with rookie running back Darrel Williams.  Even if Damien Williams does not miss time, McCoy still has a path to a fantasy relevant workload in the Chiefs offense down the stretch.
  1. Rashaad Penny, RB, Seahawks, 20%: Chris Carson’s continued fumbling issues lead to a production explosion from Penny as he ran for 129 yards on 14 carries, including a 58-yard score in Philadelphia last week. Overall, Penny (14 carries, 1 target, 30 snaps) nearly split time with Carson (8 carries, 4 targets, 31 snaps) against the Eagles.  Seahawks head coach Pete Carroll has hinted that he intends to play both Carson and Penny in a significant way heading into Week 13.  While we can’t be sure what the Seahawks backfield deployments will look like after Penny’s big day, it would be prudent to err on the side of caution by aggressively targeting Penny if he is still available in your league.
  1. Darrel Williams, RB, Chiefs, 15%: Williams lead Chiefs running backs in workload in Week 11 against the Chargers after injuries sidelined Damien Williams and LeSean McCoy. If either Damien Williams or McCoy were to miss any time, Darrel Williams would become a potential difference making fantasy asset in one of the league’s elite offenses.  Coming off the Chiefs Week 12 bye, McCoy currently has no injury status and we still don’t know the extent of Damien Williams rib injury.  That uncertainty for Damien Williams warrants a pickup of Darrel Williams in most formats.
  2. Benny Snell, RB, Steelers, 15%: The Steelers offense has been a mess this season, but their running backs have been useful for fantasy purposes. In Week 12, with James Conner out with injury, Snell ran for 98 yards on 21 carries while catching his only target for 5 yards against the winless Bengals.  In Conner’s absence, Snell massively out snapped (35-21) and out touched (22-5) running back Jaylen Samuels in Week 12.  While it’s possible that Snell’s usage spike will end up as an isolated incident, the Steelers are very much in the Wild Card race currently and they have been reliant on their running backs all season.  With Conner expected to miss at least another week, Snell is worthy of consideration heading into Week 13, even with the prospect that Samuel’s usage could return to its previous levels.
  3. Bo Scarbrough, RB, Lions, 10%: Over the past two games, Scarbrough has become the Lions primary ball carrier as he’s handled 76% of the running back carries for Detroit during that two-game sample. Scarbrough also has one, uncaught target during that two-game span.  In non-ppr formats Scarbrough has enhanced value, as he has ran for 153 yards on 32 carries with a score over the past two games.  In PPR formats in particular, Scarbrough is going to be reliant on scoring a touchdown to breech double digit points in that format.
  4. Brian Hill, RB, Falcons, 10%: Hill has not been productive in his two games filling in for Devonta Freeman, but he has fielded the majority of the running back snaps and touches. Hill has also yielded goal line work to running back Qadree Ollison, which has limited Hill’s upside as a fantasy asset.  The Falcons face the Saints (49-point game total) this Thursday to close out the Thanksgiving slate of games, which means that Freeman would have to come back a mere 4 days after he was ruled out in Week 12.  If Freeman misses again, Hill could be worthy of consideration for those in need of playing time at the running back position.
  5. Adrian Peterson, RB, Redskins, 8%: The Redskins deployed Peterson (10 carries, 1 target, 20 snaps) and Derrius Guice (10 carries, 2 targets, 24 snaps) in a nearly even split of both playing time and workload during Week 12’s matchup with the Lions. Once Christian Thompson returns from injury, Washington may very well end up with a three-way timeshare at running back.  For now, Peterson has a stable, but unusable role for fantasy purposes in one of football’s weakest offenses.  Peterson would likely need another Guice injury to become relevant again in fantasy.
  6. Tony Pollard, RB, Cowboys, 5%: Pollard is a premium handcuff that would become a max FAAB bid type of fantasy asset if Ezekiel Elliot were to go down with injury.
  7. Alexander Mattison, RB, Vikings, 5%: Mattison remains a premium handcuff that would become a max FAAB bid type of fantasy asset if Dalvin Cook were to miss any time.
  1. Frank Gore, RB, Bills, 4%: The ageless wonder Gore, who just passed Barry Sanders to become the third leading rusher in league history, has logged double-digit carries in 3 of the last 4 weeks. Even though Gore’s role has fallen behind that of rookie running back Devin Singletary, Gore can serve as a solid handcuff to Singletary while doubling as a running back that is regularly seeing considerable usage in his reserve role.
  1. Jordan Wilkins, RB, Colts, 3%: Despite returning from injury for Week 12, Wilkins only logged one offensive snap as running back Jonathan Williams took over primary ball carrier duties in Marlon Mack’s With Mack set to miss Week 13, Wilkins should at least be on the radar for fantasy owners in deep leagues just in case the Colts decide to more evenly distribute the touches between Williams, Wilkins, and Nyheim Hines.
  1. Chase Edmonds, RB, Cardinals, 3%: David Johnson has not looked right for weeks, which has led to Kenyan Drake taking over running back duties before the Cardinals Week 12 bye. If Johnson continues to look injured heading into Week 13, Edmonds could potentially leapfrog Johnson once he officially returns to action.
  1. Chris Thompson, RB, Redskins, 2%: Thompson appeared close to returning to action last week against the Lions, but ultimately sat out once again. If and when Thompson returns, he could once again become a sneaky solid PPR asset for a struggling Redskins offense.

 

Wide Receivers
Note: In league’s where Will Fuller is still available, he would top this list and warrant aggressive pursuit.

  1. Sterling Shepard, WR, Giants, 25% FAAB Budget: Shepard returned to action in Week 12 in Chicago, where he led the Giants with 9 targets. While the Giants have a reasonably crowded group of pass catchers, Golden Tate is currently in the concussion protocol and Evan Engram missed Week 12.  Going forward, Shepard has a solid matchup in Week 13 versus Green Bay where the Giants are projected to play from behind.  Beyond that, the Giants have appealing matchups in Weeks 14 through 16 that will be further detailed in the Prepare for the Playoffs column.  Now that Shepard is back, he should be rostered in all leagues, in all formats.
  1. Robby Anderson, WR, Jets, 10%: Anderson saw a slight usage spike in Week 12 against the Raiders, as he caught 4-of-5 targets for 86 yards and a score. Anderson’s sporadic, even illogical usage cannot be relied on for fantasy purposes, but the Jets have an appealing matchup in Week 13 as they visit the Bengals, followed by another in Week 14 as they host the Dolphins.  If you’re interested in betting on upside and Anderson is available in your league, it could make sense to roll the dice on his role expanding down the stretch.  But don’t expect Jets head coach Adam Gase to start pumping Anderson full of targets, either.
  1. A.J. Green, WR, Bengals, 10%: There is a very real chance that Green does not play a single snap this season. However, if he were to return this week, especially with Andy Dalton back under center, Green could potentially go postal in Week 13’s matchup with the Jets.  If news breaks before your waivers are processed that Green is trending towards returning in Week 13, get aggressive with him if you can fit him on your roster.
  1. Randall Cobb, WR, Cowboys, 8%: Over the last 4 games, Cobb has 20 catches on 30 targets for 342 yards and 2 scores. That usage has nearly put Cobb on par with both Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup over that 4-game span.  While Cobb remains the clear number 3 option in the Dallas passing game, his role has been solid all year and his usage has seen an uptick over the past month in the high-performing Cowboys offense.  Cobb has enhanced value in PPR formats.
  2. Darius Slayton, WR, Giants, 8%: Despite the return of Sterling Shepard, Slayton’s role remained solid against the Bears as he caught 4-of-7 targets for 67 yards last week. With Golden Tate currently in the concussion protocol and the often-injured Evan Engram coming off another missed game, Slayton has a path to relevant usage against Green Bay in Week 13.  Giants pass catchers also have favorable matchups in Weeks 14 though 16, which will be detailed further in the Prepare for the Playoffs column.
  3. Anthony Miller, WR, Bears, 6%: Miller saw a usage spike in Week 12 against the Giants, as he caught 6-of-9 targets for 77 yards.  In Week 13, Miller faces a Lions defense that has given up the third most passing yards per game (275.5) on the season.  With Taylor Gabriel likely to miss Week 13’s contest due to the short week, targets are likely to be narrowed for Bears pass catchers, which could lead to further upside for Miller.
  4. A.J. Brown, WR, Titans, 5%: Brown had another spike game in Week 12, as he caught 4-of-5 targets for 135 yards and a score against the Jaguars. While Week 13’s matchup against the Colts has some upside, the Titans go to Oakland in Week 14 and host Houston in Week 15.  Both of those future matchups come with a higher than normal ceiling for Brown.
  5. Corey Davis, WR, Titans, 5%: Davis and rookie wide receiver J. Brown have had nearly identical roles in the Titans offense over the course of this season. Both wide receivers have a solid Week 13 matchup with the Colts, just as both have strong upside matchups in Oakland for Week 14 and versus Houston in Week 15.
  6. Chris Conley, WR, Jaguars, 5%: Conley’s considerable usage continued in Week 12 against the Titans, as he caught 4-of-9 targets for 49 yards.  Conley has a tremendous matchup in Week 13 against the Buccaneers, while also having plus matchups in Week 15 (at Oakland) and Week 16 (at Atlanta).
  7. Mecole Hardman, WR, Chiefs, 5%: Chiefs Head Coach Andy Reid suggested that Tyreek Hill should be back for Week 13’s tilt with the Raiders. Hill’s return would reduce the value of Hardman considerably.  However, if Hill should miss this contest, Hardman would become a potential starting option in a very favorable Week 13 matchup with Oakland.
  8. Cole Beasley, WR, 3%: Beasley is coming off his most productive game of the season in Week 12 versus Denver, as he caught 6-of-9 targets for 76 yards and a score. Beasley has been a high-floor PPR asset all season, as he has had 9 or more PPR points in all but 2 games this year.  On deck in Week 13 is Beasley’s revenge game against Dallas, on Thanksgiving Day.
  9. Russell Gage, WR Falcons, 3%: Since Mohamed Sanu’s trade to New England, Gage has stepped right into his slot-heavy role in the Falcons offense. In Week 12, Gage had his most productive game of the season catching 8-of-10 targets for 76 yards against the Buccaneers.  Over the 4 games since Sanu’s departure, Gage has caught 21-of-28 targets for 189 yards.
  10. James Washington, WR, Steelers, 3%: It’s become virtually impossible to trust Steelers pass catchers for fantasy purposes this season. With that said, Washington did have 98 yards on 3 catches and a score on a team leading 7 targets in Week 12 in Cincinnati.
  11. Geronimo Allison, WR, Packers, 3%: Allison’s 54 offensive snaps were only behind Davante Adams out of Packers wide receivers during Week 12’s beat down at the hands of the 49ers. The Packers have a tremendous matchup, on the road, against the Giants in Week 13.  Allison’s slot-heavy playing time has the potential to pay off big against the embarrassing Giants secondary.
  12. Allen Lazard, WR, Packers, 3%: Lazard’s 52 offensive snaps came in behind Davante Adams and slightly behind Geronimo Allison out of Packers wide receivers in Week 12. All Packers pass catchers have a path to upside in Week 13 against the Giants vulnerable secondary.  Lazard continues to see snaps both in the slot and on the perimeter.
  13. Jakobi Meyers, WR, Patriots, 3%: With both Mohamed Sanu and Phillip Dorsett sidelined with injury in Week 12 versus Dallas, Meyers caught 4-of-9 targets for 74 yards. Meyers was a standout this preseason, so his major usage spike in this contest is encouraging, though not yet indicative of a larger role going forward
  14. N’Keal Harry, WR, Patriots, 3%: While Jakobi Meyers saw greater usage and outproduced Harry, Meyers had 3 fewer snaps than Harry in Week 12’s rock fight with Dallas. Harry’s first-round pedigree paired with him almost exclusively playing on the perimeter points to Harry being the direct replacement for Phillip Dorsett.  Week 13’s appealing matchup with Houston should shed more light on both Harry and Meyer’s role in the Patriots offense going forward.
  15. JJ Arcega-Whiteside, WR, Eagles, 2%: Now that Jordan Matthews has been released, Arcega-Whiteside led active Eagles wide receivers in offensive snaps (53) in Week 12’s tilt with the Seahawks. Arcega-Whiteside was a preseason standout that could serve as a contested catch type of asset in the Eagles offense.  While Arcega-Whiteside has not had any notable performances in the regular season to date, the Eagles Week 13 matchup in Miami comes with considerable upside and could easily become a “get well” spot for a struggling Eagles offense.  Arcega-Whiteside’s potential upside against Miami will be on the rise if Alshon Jeffery misses another game.
  16. Javon Wims, WR, Bears, 1%: With Taylor Gabriel likely to miss Week 13’s matchup with the Lions, Wims is worthy of consideration in deep leagues as he is likely to see a significant bump in playing time if Gabriel can’t go.
  17. Christian Blake, WR, Falcons, 1%: With Julio Jones only seeing 48-of-85 snaps during the Falcons blowout loss to the Buccaneers, Blake saw the most offensive snaps (37) and targets (9) that he has all season.  With Jones’ status in question heading into Week 13’s Thanksgiving Night matchup with the Saints, Blake could be in store for a significant role in the Falcons offense this Thursday.

 

Tight End

  1. Ryan Griffin, TE, Jets, 10% FAAB Budget: These are good times for Griffin, as the Jets offense has been on a roll and he has recently been given a contract extension. Griffin caught all 3 of his targets for 13 yards and a score during Week 13’s blowout of the Raiders.  That stat line means that Griffin has scored 10 or more PPR points in 4 out of the last 5 games.  The Jets have an appealing matchup against the Bengals in Week 13, and they follow that up with a Week 14 tilt with the Dolphins.  If Griffin is still available in your league, he could represent the last opportunity to acquire a tight end with a stable role that comes with reasonably reliable quarterback play.
  2. Jack Doyle, TE, Colts, 8%: Now that Eric Ebron has landed on injured reserve, Doyle’s already stable role (4 or more targets in 7 of 10 games) has a very real chance to expand going forward. One could consider Doyle the Cole Beasley of the tight end position now that Ebron is out of the picture.
  3. Noah Fant, TE, Broncos, 8%: Fant’s usage has been elite since the Emmanuel Sanders That continued in Week 12 as Fant saw 5 targets with limited production against a Bills defense that has been tough on tight ends all season.  Going forward, quarterback volatility is the biggest concern for Fant’s fantasy prospects.  Even if his elite usage continues, his efficiency will likely remain low whether Brandon Allen remains under center or rookie Drew Lock takes over.
  4. Mike Gesicki, TE, Dolphins, 5%: Volume is very important for fantasy purposes and Gesicki has had 7 or more targets in each of the last 4 games. While efficiency will continue to be a concern for all of the Dolphins offensive players, Gesicki’s role has become consistently valuable since Preston Williams went down with a season ending injury.
  1. David Njoku, TE, Browns, 3%: Njoku ended up missing Week 12’s contest with the Dolphins despite practicing earlier in the week. Heading into Week 13, Njoku’s status currently remains up in the air.  If and when Njoku returns, he’s a very athletic tight end with some appealing matchups down the stretch.  He also has considerable competition for targets with Odell Beckham Jr., Jarvis Landry, and Kareem Hunt.
  2. Kaden Smith, TE, Giants, 3%: With both Evan Engram and Rhett Ellison sidelined with injury, Smith had a massive role in the Giants offense as he caught 5-of-6 targets for 17 yards and a score, while being on the field for 59-of-60 offensive snaps.  Smith’s value in Week 13’s matchup with the Packers will be very contingent on Engram’s availability.
  3. Jaeden Graham, TE, Falcons, 3%: With Austin Hooper once again sidelined, Graham played 56-of-85 offensive snaps while hauling in 1-of-2 targets for 53 yards.  Heading into Week 13’s Thursday Night matchup with the Saints, Graham is set to continue seeing significant playing time if Hooper misses this contest, while having a realistic path to a usage spike if Julio Jones ends up missing this game on a short week.

     

Defenses

  1. Eagles Defense at Miami, 5% FAAB Budget: The Eagles are 9-point road favorites whose lethal pass rush will have the opportunity to tee off against Miami’s bottom of the barrel offensive line. Miami has struggled to run the ball, their offensive line is severely outmatched by the Eagles pass rush, and the Dolphins are projected to be playing from behind.  Those conditions set up for a potential onslaught of sack and turnover opportunities for the Eagles defense.  The Eagles defense also has an appealing matchup in Week 14 as they host the Giants on Monday Night Football and then again in Week 15 as they head to Washington.  Those future matchups will be detailed further in the Prepare for the Playoffs column that will be out later this week.
  1. Panthers Defense vs Redskins, 4%: The Panthers are 10-point home favorites against Dwayne Haskins, who has been sacked 13 times, intercepted twice, and fumbled 3 times over the Redskins last 3 games. The Panthers defense is second in the league in sacks with 41 on the season, setting them up for a potential kill spot against the struggling Redskins and their rookie quarterback.
  1. Packers Defense at Giants, 3%: After being embarrassed on Sunday Night Football, the Packers are in a classic bounce back spot against a rookie quarterback in Daniel Jones that has been sacked 33 times, while throwing 8 interceptions, while fumbling an astounding 14 times in 9 starts plus a few minutes of garbage time in Week 1. The Packers also have additional appealing matchups going forward, which will be detailed further in the Prepare for the Playoffs column.
  1. Chargers Defense at Denver, 3%: The Chargers elite edge duo of Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram has a chance to derail this game regardless of who is playing quarterback for the Broncos. That pass rush, paired with the Chargers excellent corner back group, creates a very clear path to multiple sacks and turnover opportunities against either Brandon Allen or Drew Lock.  If safety Derwin James returns from injury, that would be another serious asset for the Chargers defense in this matchup.
  1. Jets Defense at Bengals, 1%: The return of Andy Dalton tempers the appeal of playing the Jets defense in this spot. However, Dalton will still be playing behind a mediocre Bengals offensive line and the Jets defense is coming off an impressive thrashing of the Raiders.

 

Kickers

  1. Mason Crosby, K, Packers, 2% FAAB Budget: Green Bay has an appealing road matchup in Week 13 as 6 ½ point road favorites with an implied team total of 26 over the Giants. MetLife stadium is an outdoor venue, which means that weather reports, particularly wind, need to be checked before deploying kickers in fantasy.
  1. Josh Lambo, K, Jaguars, 1%: Lambo has been a reliable kicker for the Jaguars, only missing one of his 25 field goal attempts this season. The Jaguars face the Buccaneers in Week 13, with an implied team total of 25-points.  Jacksonville plays outdoors, which means that weather reports, particularly wind, need to be checked before deploying kickers in fantasy.

 

Ryan Reynolds has privately analyzed football for investing and betting purposes for nearly two decades.  Ryan began forecasting by using sports cards as a method of investing in individual baseball and football players, a practice he still takes part in today.  Ryan plays DFS, high-volume best ball, and season-long fantasy while directly betting on props, totals, and point spreads that meet his conditions.  Ryan has watched every snap, of every NFL game since 2014.