Houston @ Jacksonville
Team Totals: Jaguars 26, Texans 19
This is a get-right spot for Jacksonville’s D/ST, which was gashed by Philadelphia’s running game on the road in Week 4 but now returns home to face Davis Mills, who’s thrown four picks in his last two starts while fumbling four times and absorbing 11 sacks in the season’s opening month. … Now top 10 in the NFL in rushing yards (313), Dameon Pierce is also coming off year highs in targets (6) and snaps (68%) despite negative game script in Week 4’s loss to the Chargers, indicating Pierce is headed toward a true every-down role. Last week, Eagles RBs clocked the Jags for a combined 34/172/3 (5.1 YPC) rushing line. … Nico Collins netted a season-high 82 yards against the Bolts but remains unplayable beyond WR4/flex scenarios with one TD in 18 career games. … Although Brandin Cooks’ efficiency has frustrated at times this year, his stranglehold on Air Yards share (31%) and target share (26%) on throws from Mills keeps Cooks in the every-week WR2/3 mix. Jacksonville has yielded the NFL’s 12th-most fantasy wide receiver points. … The Jags gave up 5/72/0 receiving on six targets to Dallas Goedert last Sunday after keeping Logan Thomas (3/45/0), Gerald Everett (2/25/0), Kylen Granson (2/14/0), and Mo Alie-Cox (1/9/0) quiet in Weeks 1-3. I’m fully fading the revolving door that is Houston’s tight end room this week.
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