Buffalo @ Cleveland
Team Totals: Bills 26.5, Browns 16.5
At +550 odds, Josh Allen is an enticing longer-shot MVP bet with Drake Maye running low on steam and Matthew Stafford facing the Seahawks’ defense in Seattle minus Davante Adams on Thursday night. Allen enters Week 16 ranked No. 4 in the league in passing TDs (25) and No. 4 in rushing TDs (12) and is very obviously the actual most valuable player in the NFL. The once-stingy Browns surrendered point totals of 31 (Bears), 31 (Titans), and 26 (49ers) in their last three games. … Over the last two weeks, Bears and Titans running backs combined to tag Cleveland for a combined 62/311/4 (5.02 YPC) rushing line. Some Browns observers have chalked up the team’s run-defense collapse to Myles Garrett lining up especially wide in pursuit of the NFL sack record. Regardless, James Cook is a hot RB1 play averaging 24.8 touches for 132 yards and a touchdown over Buffalo’s last four games.
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