Denver @ Miami
Team Totals: Dolphins 27.5, Broncos 20.5
I’m more interested in Miami’s D/ST than Russell Wilson here after Wilson played a low-aDOT game-manager role in Week 1, then saw his Week 2 box-score stats vastly inflated by a late-fourth-quarter 50-yard Hail Mary touchdown caught off deflections by Brandon Johnson. Against the Commanders last week, Wilson took a whopping seven sacks and 14 QB hits. … Denver’s RBBC continued in Week 2’s defeat, as Samaje Perine out-snapped Javonte Williams 33 to 30 and Jaleel McLaughlin’s lone touch vultured a first-quarter 5-yard touchdown. Williams did out-touch Perine 14 to four. Dolphins DC Vic Fangio’s defense got creamed on the ground by Chargers backs in Week 1, although Los Angeles’ run-game production largely came via Fangio’s soft-front, coverage-first game plan. The Fins held Patriots RBs to 20/63/1 (3.2 YPC) rushing last week. Williams is an RB2/flex play. I’m not considering Perine playable. Keep in mind this is a #RevengeGame for Fangio, who was fired by the Broncos after the 2021 season.
Wilson’s Week 2 target distribution: Courtland Sutton 7; Jerry Jeudy 5; Perine 4; Williams and Brandon Johnson 3; Marvin Mims and Lil’Jordan Humphrey 2. … No enemy wideout has cleared 80 yards versus the Fins through two weeks, and Keenan Allen (6/76/0) is the lone receiver to reach 60 yards against them. … The Broncos are deploying a fantasy-unfriendly five-man WRBC with Sutton at the top, Jeudy second, Johnson third, Humphrey fourth, and Mims fifth in snap-count terms.
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