Tampa Bay @ Buffalo
Team Totals: Bills 26, Bucs 20.5
Baker Mayfield profiles as a fringe QB1/2 in what’s expected to be suboptimal weather facing a run-funnel Bills defense. Forecasts are calling for sustained 20 mph winds with 35 mph gusts, while Sean McDermott’s unit has yielded the league’s fifth-lowest completion rate (62.3%) and sixth-lowest passer rating (84.8). Sparked by the offseason addition of Joey Bosa, Buffalo is generating the NFL’s fourth-highest pressure rate (28%). … On paper, the Bucs’ best means of attacking the Bills would be heavy doses of Rachaad White and Sean Tucker. Although Tucker is clearly the better runner of the two, my bet is on White continuing to out-snap Tucker by a large margin because of White’s superior pass pro and this game’s projected negative script. I still think Tucker is flex-playable; he led the Bucs in rushing last Sunday despite playing 28 fewer snaps than White. But White remains the more confident RB2 between the two, especially if you think the Bucs indeed fall behind.
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