Tampa Bay @ Atlanta
Team Totals: Bucs 25, Falcons 22.5
I took the over on this game’s 47.5-point total after these teams played to 31-26, 36-30, and 29-25 results in their last three meetings. Atlanta is starting two rookies in the secondary (FS Xavier Watts and slot CB Billy Bowman) while betting rookie EDGEs Jalon Walker and James Pearce Jr. can resuscitate its long-dead pass rush. Baker Mayfield tagged Falcons HC Raheem Morris’ defense for weekly fantasy finishes of QB8 and QB7 in last year’s dates. This is a matchup friendly enough for Mayfield to potentially overcome All-Pro LT Tristan Wirfs’ (knee) loss. … Bucky Irving returns as Tampa Bay’s lead back, but Bucs coaches value Rachaad White’s pass protection, which will come in handy sans Wirfs. Sean Tucker would likely need an Irving or White injury for fantasy relevance. Including playoffs, Irving averaged 18.9 touches over Tampa’s last eight games. In 2024, Irving led all NFL backs in yards after contact per carry (4.0). Irving is an upside RB1 play in this potential shootout.
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