Dallas @ Carolina
Team Totals: Cowboys 27, Panthers 16
Winners of three of their last four and exceedingly familiar with winning by blowout, the Cowboys have outscored their opponents by 20+ points in five of nine games. On the season, only Baltimore (+113) and San Francisco (+109) have better point differentials than Dallas (+104). Over his last four starts, Dak Prescott is a lights-out 101-of-140 passing (72%) for 1,354 yards (9.7 YPA), a 12:2 TD-to-INT ratio, and 19/90/2 rushing. On Tuesday, I bet him at 40 to 1 to win MVP. … Even while Rico Dowdle increasingly lurks as a workload threat, Tony Pollard should get another slump-busting opportunity at Carolina, whose defense enemy backs have torn up for the NFL’s second-most fantasy points. Pollard out-snapped Dowdle 54 to 22 in Week 10, while Establish The Run’s Mark Dankenbring noted that six of Dowdle’s 12 carries against the Giants occurred after Cooper Rush had entered the Cowboys’ 49-17 landslide win. This is still Pollard’s backfield until proven otherwise, and Pollard is a good bet for 15+ touches here.
Dak’s 2023 target distribution: CeeDee Lamb 84; Jake Ferguson 50; Brandin Cooks 39; Michael Gallup 38; Pollard 35; Jalen Tolbert 14. … As HC Mike McCarthy’s offensive staff has embraced Lamb as its centerpiece, Lamb has delivered an insane run of four straight games with 115+ receiving yards.
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