Miami @ Buffalo
Team Totals: Bills 27.5, Dolphins 21.5
Tua Tagovailoa’s history versus Sean McDermott’s Bills is rough; in eight career meetings, Tua has a 7:10 TD-to-INT ratio and 6.8 yards-per-pass-attempt average with 13 sacks taken and three fumbles. This year, Buffalo is yielding the NFL’s fifth-fewest YPA (6.5) and ninth-lowest passer rating (83.0). I’m a fan of this game’s scoring potential but keeping Tua on the QB1/2 fringe. … In Tua’s three 2024 appearances, De’Von Achane’s weekly fantasy finishes are RB3, RB2, and RB2, averaging 20.7 touches for 137.3 yards and a TD per game. In three career dates with Buffalo, Achane has carved McDermott’s unit for 6.3 yards per carry and four all-purpose TDs. Achane has resumed elite RB1 valuation, especially with HC Mike McDaniel openly acknowledging that Raheem Mostert could lose usage to Jaylen Wright.
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