Carolina @ Atlanta
Team Totals: Falcons 23, Panthers 19.5
The Panthers visit Atlanta off a massive letdown loss to the Saints following Week 9’s upset win at Lambeau Field. I like Carolina’s chances of bouncing back here, at least to the extent that they cover Sunday’s 3.5-point spread. The Panthers are the NFL’s run-heaviest team, while Atlanta fields the NFC’s biggest run-funnel defense, hemorrhaging 4.8 yards per carry and 148.7 total yards per game to enemy backs. Losers of four straight, the Falcons are also on dangerously short rest trekking back from Week 10’s loss to the Colts in Berlin. This is an eruption spot for Rico Dowdle, who controlled 21 touches on a 79% playing-time clip over Chuba Hubbard (4, 21%) versus New Orleans. … On a week-to-week basis, no NFL coach goes out of his way more to hide his quarterback than Dave Canales does with Bryce Young. The Panthers run the ball voluminously even when they are playing from behind. It bleeds down to Tetairoa McMillan, whose capped volume renders him a weekly WR3/flex option while eliminating the rest of Carolina’s pass catchers from FF relevance.
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