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Houston @ Indianapolis

Team Totals: Texans 25.5, Colts 23

As a rookie, C.J. Stroud coolly carved up Colts DC Gus Bradley’s unit for a combined 50-of-73 passing (68.5%), 648 yards (8.9 YPA), a 4:0 TD-to-INT ratio, and 21 yards rushing. The Texans this offseason added Stefon Diggs with Tank Dell entering his second year and get back every key member of 2023’s most-injured offensive line. Indoors at Lucas Oil Stadium with a much-improved supporting cast, Stroud is set to eat. … Joe Mixon is a volume-over-efficiency bet lacking big-play ability taking on Indianapolis’ loaded defensive line. Just two of Mixon’s 257 carries last season exceeded 20 yards. Three of the Colts’ first-team front-four defenders are first-round picks, while lone non-first-rounder NT Grover Stewart is a pocket-crushing power player. I’m ultimately viewing Mixon as a TD-dependent RB2 play.

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