Thorman’s Snaps and Pace: Week 6

Welcome to the Week 6 edition of Snaps & Pace, where we examine trends in play volume and game pace. It is meant to be a 30,000-foot view of upcoming contests, with the goal of identifying which matchups will – and which will not – be played on fertile fantasy soil. For a primer on why this is important, click here.

Even more than in a typical week, we’re going to need to do some game-script projecting. There is only one (atrocious) matchup on the main slate in which a top-10-paced team plays another in the top 10. Likewise, the slow end of the spectrum has no offenses facing off with each other.

It doesn’t help that all four teams on bye reside at the very top or bottom of the pace scale. Week 6 appears relatively low scoring, which isn’t shocking after to-date elevated point totals. This should cause DFS ownership to concentrate on individual matchups rather than overall game environments.

Let’s see if we can find some gems, even if only one side reaps pace-based benefits.

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Up In Pace

Baltimore Ravens at Philadelphia Eagles

The Ravens are undoubtedly a slow offense, and this is likely the only time they will land in the Up Pace section this season. On a situation-neutral basis, Baltimore ranks 32nd in pace and seventh in run rate (48%). Their games average the fifth-fewest combined snaps, and the Ravens produce the second fewest per game themselves. Yet they haven’t been remotely as run-heavy as last year (league-high 56%), and the past two weeks, Baltimore has the 22nd-quickest situation-neutral pace, according to the RotoViz Pace App.