Value Report: Charles Schwab Challenge

We are running out of words when it comes to Scottie Scheffler’s pure dominance, but there was something different about the way he handled this tournament. Scheffler’s lack of course history at Quail combined with Rory McIlroy’s 2025 and Bryson DeChambeau’s unending popularity likely had Scottie the lowest on the Big Three totem pole despite the record-setting Byron Nelson performance. He didn’t really have it on Thursday, and with the mix of mud balls affecting his play, the 2-under round there was more impressive than the paper seemed to show. His partners that day, Xander Schauffele and Rory, virtually played themselves out of the podium during Round 1, and Scheffler’s fight is what began his steady climb. Saturday’s owning of the Green Mile, which decimated most of the field, set up such comfort on Sunday, and even though challengers again presented themselves, Scottie settled in one final time. The turn of the tides on the back nine left no doubt on why he’s the world No. 1, and you could see how the rest of the field felt like they needed perfection to even challenge Scheffler’s title. It’s such a cool time in golf to witness someone play as good as Peak Tiger, and it’s a mere question now: Can he keep up at all with the longevity of the best in history?

From a DFS standpoint, I’d be remiss if I didn’t give Jeremy the well-deserved kudos on what was an insane week. Shipping the Round 4 Flagship showdown is a feather in the cap of course, but honestly that is expected with someone who is as detailed as he is in his SD process. But winning the single-entry Driver is too good. He may claim to not know ball, but understanding ranges of outcomes in golf involves understanding player skill sets, and getting massive fade positions correct will separate you massively in DFS. Now, of course he slid in a brand-new H2H contest just two weeks ago, so I have to bury myself out of this hole with multiple victories the rest of the year, but I’m happy to compete against one of the best in the game.

My selections for the PGA Championship weren’t as hot, with only three of the seven making the weekend. I was extremely pleased at the ownership though, as David Puig was our top guy still being under 6%, and with chalk busting in this range, I felt very happy with being in overweight spots here. The biggest miss was Niklas Norgaard Moller, who looked to be very steady out of the gates, but Friday’s round he just had zero iron play and poor putting, which didn’t take advantage of his amazing driving skills. Rasmus Neergard-Petersen felt similar, while Erik Van Rooyen completely imploded on Friday. John Keefer was very frustrating, as I think that talent bet will pay off big time in the future and — coincidentally — we will get another shot on him at the U.S. Open after he qualified yesterday. Puig still needs to show more on the weekends, but the promise is there in the ball striking, and Michael Thorbjornsen really scared the top of the leaderboard for the first two days. I’m loving what we’ve been seeing out of him. Then, lastly, I felt really good with what I saw from 0.44%-owned Marco Penge. Getting to know him quite well on the DP World Tour this season, it was finally shown against the world’s best how good of a driver he is. He was right there in distance with Bryson and the Hojgaards, and ended up second in off-the-tee numbers. What was crazy was Penge actually led the field in par 4 scoring but was dead last of those who made the cut in par 5 scoring, which should be something he typically would feast on with his play. I’m hoping we get to see him in another big test of power, where we will absolutely bet on him again.

Now, back to the regular PGA Tour events, where it’s just a three-week stretch before it’s major time again. I love the transition we have course-wise too this week, where Colonial Country Club is so different than Quail Hollow. It is not a drive-for-dough type of week; rather it’ll be full of players who earn their stripes with accuracy and putting. That opens up the list of players a lot more than most weeks, but the only caveat is Scottie Scheffler doesn’t like to skip any events in his home state. He proved last year that his bounce-back ability post-major is unlike anyone else, so even at $13,700, he will likely approach ownership records. To roster him, we will need plenty of plays $7,500 and below, so let’s find the best way we can pair up lineups with him to catch up to Jeremy in our contest!

Emiliano Grillo, $7,400 – The 2023 Charles Schwab Champion heads back to Colonial with arguably the worst form he’s had since breaking through to the PGA Tour nearly a decade ago. The price is partially inflated with the course history, which includes two other top 10s plus the victory, but there are subtle signs of Grillo showing his ceiling once again. The Argentinian has made his hay on Tour due to lights-out iron play and consistent accuracy off the tee, which is the exact recipe for this course. But that game abandoned him early in 2025. Since making the cut at The Players, he has been positive in either OTT or APP in every single event, and he had his best iron display since 2019 last time out in Myrtle Beach. If that game can carry over and his putter stays positive like it has all season, Grillo can definitely surprise many by getting back into the hunt.