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Buffalo @ New England

Team Totals: Bills 25.5, Patriots 24

Josh Allen enters Week 15 as fantasy’s overall QB1 by more than three points per game ahead of QB2 Patrick Mahomes. I believe the inability of Bills skill players to win on the perimeter has helped rather than hurt Allen’s box-score results by forcing Allen to don his Superman cape and shoulder a massive percentage of Buffalo’s offensive load. It doesn’t hurt that, regardless of position, Allen is the best player in the NFL. Expect a balls-to-the-wall effort from Allen in Sunday’s enormously consequential division trip to Foxboro. … As noted by Pat Thorman, since Week 11, the Patriots’ once-stout run defense has fallen to 23rd in the league in EPA permitted per run play and bottom two in Success Rate allowed while doling out 4.7 yards per carry. James Cook is averaging 22.7 touches, 5.4 yards per carry, and 135.6 total yards per game since Buffalo’s Week 7 bye.

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