UFL Top Plays: Week 3

Editor’s Note: We may not write up every player we consider to be a top play. Be sure to consult the chart at the bottom of the page. This page will be updated, if necessary.

You don’t have to play cash games to understand why it’s important to grasp them. Players we consider for cash are the ones we believe are the most underpriced, have the best floor/ceiling combo, and feature a relatively tight range of outcomes.

In other words, these are the best plays on the board once price, slate context, and positional depth are accounted for. Those sound like pretty good options for GPPs as well.

The optimal GPP lineup will mix some of these cash-type plays with higher-variance options in correlated lineups. In cash games (where roughly 50% of the field gets paid out), we don’t worry about ownership or game stacks or correlation. In large-field tournaments, our ACO (average cumulative ownership) should stay reasonably low. Please read this article and listen to Episode 237 of the podcast for more on large-field tournament strategy.

With all that said, these are our Top Plays considering the following factors: median projection, matchup, upside, and value. Ownership is NOT considered here. Generally speaking, these players are what we consider to be “head-to-head and 50/50 considerations.”

QUARTERBACK

Austin Reed ($10,000) – For cash-game purposes, there’s really only one answer at the QB position. Reed has strung together two All-UFL-worthy performances to start his spring football career, completing 63.2% of his passes for 8.0 YPA and a 7:1 TD-to-INT ratio, all while only taking two sacks on 76 dropbacks and tallying a league-high four Big Time Throws, according to PFF. Importantly, Dallas’ offensive braintrust is letting him sling it, posting a 70% situation-neutral pass rate and 72% red-zone pass rate. Now they get a questionable Columbus defense as 7-point favorites.