Indianapolis @ New England
Team Totals: Patriots 22.5, Colts 17
Sam Ehlinger’s starting debut went roughly, as expected; the Colts emphasized their ground game with a 29-to-23 run-pass ratio in Week 8’s 17-16 loss to Washington. The Pats’ D/ST is attractive here, ranking top five in sacks (23) and No. 2 in interceptions (10) while allowing a league-low 57.4% completion rate. I like Bill Belichick’s chances of exploiting Ehlinger’s weaknesses with a full game of tape. … Jonathan Taylor aggravated his preexisting high ankle sprain on last week’s first-quarter 27-yard run. New England has held enemy backs to the NFL’s third-fewest fantasy points. Nyheim Hines will deserve RB2 treatment should Taylor sit against the Pats, even while Deon Jackson would likely mix in enough to threaten Hines’ ceiling. … On Ehlinger’s Week 8 throws, Michael Pittman led Indy in targets (9), catches (7), and first-down conversions (3).
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