Select Page

Our 2021 Bundle Subscription is live. Get our best deal!

Stay prepared during the 2021 NFL Season

From Week 1 until the Super Bowl, we create the highest-quality NFL fantasy, DFS, and prop betting content. Our goal is to keep you informed while saving you time so you can compete successfully. Click here to see our full content schedule or subscribe now.

I play roughly 60% of my action each week in “cash games.” Cash games refer to any contest in which roughly 50% of the field gets paid out, such as head-to-head, double up or 50/50. I try to get as much head-to-head action as I can every week and then supplement that with other cash games.

Each week, I’ll review my cash-game lineup in this space. Sometimes I’ll lose, but hopefully I’ll win more often. Either way, I’ll post it here and give you my thought process.


I prefer to build my cash lineups in a “stars and scrubs” style. The problem this week was a serious lack of viable scrubs. I didn’t think any RBs under $5700, WRs under $4000, and any TEs under $3900 were in play. That led to a forced balance build and a tight 2v2 call at the end.


* We could safely project Najee Harris for roughly 100% of the snaps as a solid home favorite against a team off an overtime win on a short week. Harris also has a dead-armed quarterback and plays in the pass game. No matter what you think of the offensive line, Harris was severely mispriced at $6300.

* With Michael Gallup (calf) out, we knew CeeDee Lamb would play around 100% of the snaps in arguably the week’s best game environment. A freak talent with top-shelf QB play, Lamb’s floor was very high as the slot man in 3-WR sets and outside in 2-WR. Much like Harris, Lamb was far too cheap. We was tied with Justin Herbert as the best value in our projections on the entire slate.

* Keenan Allen had seen double-digit targets in 11 of his 12 full games with Justin Herbert. I wasn’t about to pass on him in this dream matchup at home against the Cowboys, even at $7000.  Keenan was our 2nd-highest projected WR, only 0.1 behind Stef Diggs.


* Tyler Higbee was close to a “must.” But I’d rarely consider a tight end at $4100 a must unless it’s a guy who is the No. 1 or 2 option on his team. So even though Higbee’s projected usage was truly elite, I did think Noah Fant or punting with James O’Shaughnessy was fine. But in the end, I wanted to bet on talent and role with Higbee.

* Regular readers know I’m almost always trying to play the cheapest viable defense. Especially when the cap is tight as it was this week. I did think this was a fine spot for the Eagles D/ST, who had Thorn’s No. 5 pass rush. The 49ers do have a top-8 OL, but the $2400 tag fit right.

* I actually had Justin Herbert in this lineup. But after I didn’t have Cooper Kupp or Noah Fant at 1pm (see below), I went to Dak Prescott for a few reasons. First, I thought he would be less owned by the field. Second, he gave me max correlation with CeeDee Lamb and Amari Cooper. And finally, I only thought he was a hair worse play.

* I really wanted to get up to Christian McCaffrey at the RB2 spot. But the strength of the spot for Chris Carson for $3800 cheaper combined with the dearth of cheap plays left no real path. Even Cedrick Wilson lineups didn’t cleanly get to CMC. I was fine to settle for Carson, who had bell cow probability with Rashaad Penny (calf) out.

* I agonized over the final 2v2. It was Amari Cooper and Manny Sanders (total cost $10800) or Cooper Kupp and Ja’Marr Chase (total cost $11000). I had both sides in at different points Sunday morning. In the end, I wasn’t sold that Kupp’s elite Week 1 usage would be sticky and I didn’t love having two Rams taking up $10,100. I also thought Ja’Marr Chase could easily come third in targets while Manny Sanders was an every-down player in the extreme pass-game friendly Bills pass game. In hindsight, perhaps I should have trusted the age model.


Week 2 Results
This is the worst week I’ve had since I started playing DFS in 2014. In hindsight, the incomparable ceilings of Ja’Marr Chase vs. Manny Sanders perhaps should have swung the decision that way.

Note that in double ups, I swapped to a Kyler Murray team (which still didn’t cash). But in head-to-heads, I checked my highest stakes games before the 4pm lock and thought I was still live enough to make the Dak change and stick otherwise. And after looking through my head-to-heads, I think that was the right call.

Year-To-Date Results
Week 1: 124.86 points, won 70.5% of head-to-heads
Week 2: 92.88 points, won 5.7% of head-to-heads