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NBA Player Props

Looking for some NBA Props action? Built and run by our renowned projections team, we offer a subscription that sources and releases prop bets we like. You’ll also receive access to our private NBA Props Discord community, which has become a hub to discuss betting with other props enthusiasts.

In 2021-22, our team went an incredible 751-495 overall for a 60.2% win rate and 14.0% ROI. In 2022-23, we went 700-455 for a 60.6% win rate and 13.9% ROI. In 2023-24 it was 683-432 for 61.2% and 14.73% ROI. Subscribe today or check out the full details here.

Underdog’s format is a hybrid of DFS and snake drafts. Drafts are six rounds (snake style) and conducted in leagues of six. Scoring is points based, and there are no positional requirements.

Some strategy thoughts:

1. These are often large-field tournaments with 10% of the prize pool going to first place. We should be aggressively drafting for a first-place finish mentality.

2. We want to consider at least one contrarian play. Since the drafts are only 36 picks deep, players ranked deeper often won’t be drafted in many leagues. If they go off, and no one else even has them, it’s a massive leg up on the field.

As you are drafting, there is substantial value to taking players that are drafted on fewer teams. Because these drafts are not that deep, you usually do not need to scroll down too far to still find quality, high upside options. Any ADP higher than 35 will get you some leverage, above 35.5 and you’re getting quite unique.

3. There is also a benefit to creating “different combinations” of players, since most users will follow ADP when drafting, many combinations of players will be the same. One potential strategy is straying a few picks past ADP to pair unique combinations (i.e., players with an ADP of 9 & 10 at the 1/2 turn) when players project similarly to those that are the highest ADP option remaining. In general, it’s ok to give up 1-2 projected points for uniqueness in these fields.

4. It is important to understand the implications of injuries when drafting in the NBA. Always reference the NBA Injury Report when drafting. ETR has a threshold of believing a player must be 75% or more likely to miss the game in order to remove them from projections. This will include all players listed doubtful or out and then players we feel hit our internal threshold that may be listed questionable. Trying to read the tea leaves on injury guesses is a valuable part of playing the Underdog draft game. We encourage people to watch our injury analysis show for our insights.

You should also be familiar with Underdog’s Swap rules that state in the event a drafted player is ruled out ahead of a game’s start and does not play, that player will be swapped to a player who was not selected in your Battle Royale draft, so long as there is a game on your Battle Royale’s slate that has not started yet. This is often an opportunity (through adjusting your rankings) to swap in a low-drafted player with a higher than initially expected projection. Consider that the later the game is played, the fewer the swap options you will have available.

5. If you don’t have an Underdog Fantasy account yet, use Promo Code ETR for a matching deposit bonus up to $125.

6. These rankings will go live at 11am ET daily. They will continuously update after that, through lock.

 

Our rankings for 2024 are based on the following inputs:
– Half base projection and half ceiling projection
– Projections update automatically when ETR updates DFS projections
– Projections will “show” here before they go live on site for DFS projections, when this is the case it represents the “first run” of projections from the minutes team the night before. These may often have status changes on the injury report that haven’t yet been updated by the morning team. Consider these first AM runs very fragile to later day news.

The below rankings can be directly uploaded to Underdog via the CSV download button below. Head to the corresponding tournament on the Underdog Rankings tab and click the CSV upload/download button at the bottom to get going.

Underdog NBA Daily Rankings

PlayerTeamOpponentPositionUD PositionProjectionCeilingRankADPid
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKCMINPGSFLEX50.861.511.165e6e04c-4a4e-42dd-b049-d29e0a93b216
James HardenLACUTASGSFLEX47.959.025.6b0e58c13-04c1-4a8e-b702-7079f47398b2
Domantas SabonisSACNOPCSFLEX46.254.042.5326b88f8-f33e-4cd8-8661-41459517040c
Anthony EdwardsMINOKCSGSFLEX44.955.733.5ebab8f96-17dd-4d19-9f16-eeb157fa4f8f
Amen ThompsonHOUGSWPGSFLEX43.853.457.388055349-3414-46ee-b5f9-6da0f59b326b
Alperen SengunHOUGSWCSFLEX42.551.865.979f41adb-f03e-41f3-9000-6ac8c7c9ba00
Trey Murphy IIINOPSACSFSFLEX42.050.6710.9122c46ca-3b6c-46b4-9ade-e179f1dfe370
Ivica ZubacLACUTACSFLEX41.148.71010.443e46d32-7081-42f4-b398-ff9d76ad5c43
Tyler HerroMIADALSGSFLEX40.549.4915897722a1-ed7d-4a98-9f17-79ebb107157e
Stephen CurryGSWHOUPGSFLEX40.250.087.769457272-322a-43a6-97f0-b6a02a06a3ea
Kel'el WareMIADALCSFLEX39.547.81135.1200099b5-a836-4ca4-85dd-201bb208689e
Jimmy ButlerGSWHOUSFSFLEX38.547.61213.1d096bb39-b2e4-404e-8d54-52eb0cf74619
Malik MonkSACNOPSGSFLEX38.247.51318cccb1df8-5563-4297-a898-fa60a5aa3140
Jalen WilliamsOKCMINSFSFLEX37.547.21415.59b4be56c-809a-49df-bed9-1e688a7074c0
CJ McCollumNOPSACPGSFLEX37.246.41524.59ecd23b4-98bd-493a-ab9a-5b579d1dc642
Norman PowellLACUTASFSFLEX36.946.21623.9195ac300-5e75-41bd-99a4-dbcafba54f65
Naz ReidMINOKCCSFLEX36.044.61719.24aaf30d0-f9d8-458c-aa29-4269928e6085
Jalen GreenHOUGSWSGSFLEX35.444.61818.57f0e2a9c-ffad-4ea9-b7cd-8dcbfea59eb7
DeMar DeRozanSACNOPSFSFLEX35.444.11916.9e13d116d-78fa-4d8e-b75a-0a78e2dac839
Zach LaVineSACNOPSGSFLEX35.044.22020.3b2d099ae-c6b7-47f5-809d-382923f32685
John CollinsUTALACPFSFLEX34.943.72126.8c81429ca-0458-40b0-8530-fa15797266a5
Chet HolmgrenOKCMINCSFLEX32.441.32222.89db14fea-9dd9-4cce-a19f-32e8e3c9f3a8
Lauri MarkkanenUTALACPFSFLEX32.040.32328.94e7c1aec-fb6a-451b-a9ce-3ae83c26cc9d
Isaiah HartensteinOKCMINCSFLEX31.439.62429.575b4667f-2379-4634-b38d-e27a60e5c7cf
Jaden McDanielsMINOKCPFSFLEX30.839.6253329767cb6-de35-40d5-9767-8d0bd920f32f
Spencer DinwiddieDALMIAPGSFLEX30.538.929368ca37623-a7a2-49ba-9203-98c6a2033bf3
Jose AlvaradoNOPSACPGSFLEX30.239.42735.82aee4545-684e-4bac-830d-a7fe35d0df82
Keyonte GeorgeUTALACSGSFLEX30.039.42832.634a41f98-49c7-4f6b-91f3-a99ffa656752
Isaiah CollierUTALACPGSFLEX29.839.82635.39dd3d801-a7fb-4595-b914-56b14a189e5c
Yves MissiNOPSACCSFLEX29.637.53035.92882d247-9eba-47e7-8208-6f008375e324
Max ChristieDALMIASGSFLEX29.137.33134.70a732ac7-a256-4eb5-aa2e-c31a69c80b9b
Brandin PodziemskiGSWHOUSGSFLEX28.636.83235.12df022b6-a2ce-4d61-afaa-58def728d3ab
Nikola JovicMIADALSFSFLEX28.536.73334.656348fe4-035f-4ee1-85a0-93c180fba431
Olivier-Maxence ProsperDALMIAPFSFLEX28.336.33440b0de5dcd-cfa4-48a5-9082-c97a47cd2757
Draymond GreenGSWHOUPFSFLEX27.736.83531.9b7b4c68b-eda0-48d6-8e0f-3ab1272e97d2
Naji MarshallDALMIASFSFLEX27.736.33635.9cc29ed11-2359-4976-a033-0332a769c652
Keegan MurraySACNOPPFSFLEX26.734.53735.62b4b90e3-8ea9-4e57-b686-c60326c5465e
Jaime Jaquez Jr.MIADALSFSFLEX24.132.739404bcf6723-e8cd-4bf8-b75f-9999add33fa7
Keon EllisSACNOPSGSFLEX23.733.43836c70fd9ff-e16e-4991-b0f3-b5d363eece51
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerMINOKCSGSFLEX23.531.74235.9c4d02060-5930-4d56-a08d-8caa09a8fcaf
Derrick Jones Jr.LACUTASFSFLEX23.432.04135.95b36e472-7efb-48e5-9981-3eb34b631860
Dillon BrooksHOUGSWSFSFLEX23.331.44335.51497068d-45a7-4392-aab3-4a3a4d6e8c72
Kris DunnLACUTASGSFLEX23.032.54040a62d9dca-b12b-4bbc-849f-190b341a55dc
Cam WhitmoreHOUGSWSFSFLEX22.330.844363d04db25-5d21-4956-9790-12e69df4c5d6
Buddy HieldGSWHOUSFSFLEX22.130.64535.907207984-85b1-4786-85d0-4152a973e86d
Dante ExumDALMIAPGSFLEX22.130.347404c7aac10-f3b1-4312-9a83-db19c39de6a9
Kyle FilipowskiUTALACPFSFLEX22.030.04840940d2cc8-7e63-4a7d-b1e9-2f0b8bf79b2a
Kessler EdwardsDALMIASFSFLEX21.929.65036857e59e9-8236-47ce-9561-cf8456f28c9f
Davion MitchellMIADALPGSFLEX21.830.04935.961cf975f-a544-4490-89a3-5e488bf33310
Ben SimmonsLACUTAPGSFLEX21.830.646366a633c97-ed1f-482e-b069-1b0baf7889f9
Moses MoodyGSWHOUSGSFLEX21.629.85135.991310347-8843-4c47-9051-5453d16e0aa3
Aaron WigginsOKCMINSGSFLEX21.229.55235.85a94f521-5ea0-4514-80e0-9f52cdc7a895
Bruce BrownNOPSACSFSFLEX20.528.75340e3a3de5a-db68-49f3-8d8e-6fbe1f614a22
Svi MykhailiukUTALACSFSFLEX20.128.954363ad1c5a9-e33e-44bf-8757-fdf36fd83ba8
Lu DortOKCMINSFSFLEX20.128.25540b26525c6-1283-47d4-ab62-cc2773543eba
Javonte GreenNOPSACPFSFLEX19.728.25636b2d5cf3a-3363-4e24-90be-656304fdb72a
Kyle AndersonMIADALSFSFLEX19.327.557364666c57e-24ef-447f-8f95-00f6e263320a
Jaden HardyDALMIASGSFLEX18.327.558405b160ed8-5f86-4d71-b686-43d3edd5949e
Alec BurksMIADALSGSFLEX18.226.25940014b6efa-a730-46a7-a368-f5f4cef23a09
Jonas ValanciunasSACNOPCSFLEX18.226.160364290f749-6a5c-49a2-932a-6fd55872ad8f
Bogdan BogdanovicLACUTASGSFLEX17.826.4613685436acb-b6ec-4fd9-86e9-1f4a74b2d710
Brandon WilliamsDALMIAPGSFLEX17.726.36235.9c92fd09a-4a00-4c55-ac72-aae1c2f7542e
Isaiah JoeOKCMINSGSFLEX17.124.964365b3b13ad-0631-422c-a86d-42ded7a11fa6
Luka GarzaMINOKCCSFLEX17.025.06335.91ed31dd2-e19f-46df-bfe7-e08b4d250641
Duncan RobinsonMIADALSFSFLEX17.024.965368be4b3bc-9bac-4c6d-a41f-6fb9d747f29b
Jaylen ClarkMINOKCPGSFLEX16.824.866366f7db427-f4ab-4662-a7a4-92440b8e0fed
Rob DillinghamMINOKCPGSFLEX16.324.96735.9ea147591-1edc-4859-bfe2-66fbc6ba1192
Aaron HolidayHOUGSWPGSFLEX16.324.368366668f9b5-bdd7-4f78-b337-9ea97ed6e7b2
Jordan HawkinsNOPSACSGSFLEX15.823.76936ca0ef9b8-cf30-43f0-8a5e-d796abfda9b6
Steven AdamsHOUGSWCSFLEX15.323.27040dd0cd2c8-ff47-4577-91fa-dc2e696eca2e
Jaylin WilliamsOKCMINPFSFLEX15.022.771368c572bd9-e3a7-4a19-ab47-932951f082b7
Kevon LooneyGSWHOUCSFLEX14.822.47236b8884c60-237e-48b0-a8f3-1b8c6bbc7ddd
Nicolas BatumLACUTAPFSFLEX14.222.17336f4d2ffc4-d103-4317-9eee-d722104396a3
Johnny JuzangUTALACSGSFLEX14.021.87536820c080c-3c8f-449e-b64b-23931b4ac4dc
Brice SensabaughUTALACSFSFLEX13.722.47440a84a30f8-243e-4c5d-be78-ab17fee2a6fb
Kenrich WilliamsOKCMINPFSFLEX13.321.3763686ed44cd-9297-4dfc-8f87-2568bd814e89
Jae'Sean TateHOUGSWPFSFLEX12.921.0774016a33796-2b67-49a9-b778-798cc22cb8ce
Haywood HighsmithMIADALSFSFLEX12.720.77840f497d3f0-bb6a-4372-abb2-75fe5311c393
Antonio ReevesNOPSACSFSFLEX12.720.6794079aef65d-3488-483e-b1e7-44c38248773b
Reed SheppardHOUGSWSGSFLEX12.520.880364bd22411-d6cd-462f-a5ab-2f77f469ddb1
Jeremiah Robinson-EarlNOPSACCSFLEX10.418.181401558e3fa-a496-4ce2-9e5c-dfc12719690c
Gui SantosGSWHOUSFSFLEX10.218.18236da64472d-e378-40a6-8009-44ed8d9c5b90
Jake LaRaviaSACNOPPFSFLEX9.817.98336b76f2ffc-14de-48da-8bd8-51bdd854a142
Kobe BrownLACUTAPFSFLEX9.717.4844062a3418c-5f0c-4064-a28a-5edc3a0017f3
Cody WilliamsUTALACSFSFLEX9.517.5853620d204a9-0584-4f5a-9041-06373d7d209b
Joe InglesMINOKCSFSFLEX8.516.486409b5aa894-cdb6-48eb-af2f-991c3b32272b
Trey LylesSACNOPPFSFLEX8.416.18736cb2d0c8b-f1a9-4bc9-b270-3b8ce4b75c1b
Micah PotterUTALACCSFLEX8.115.688403c12ed41-7db6-46fd-a747-021dca67f3e8
Josh MinottMINOKCPFSFLEX7.215.1894063cf14e5-2380-4123-9cf5-be451b6346ec
Jeff GreenHOUGSWPFSFLEX5.312.9903666a270ed-1f7c-4cf3-8790-98758c27cd32
Dillon JonesOKCMINSGSFLEX5.012.89140062faaa7-6c5b-4a7b-948f-5d196c54e8ac
Pat SpencerGSWHOUSGSFLEX4.612.492403d7d9c48-0cdb-4ab8-bfe7-be4d62ef5775
Kai JonesLACUTACSFLEX3.611.39340f51b24db-c1c0-4c00-b3c2-bae3fbbdc9c7
Trayce Jackson-DavisGSWHOUPFSFLEX2.710.49440518645b8-7637-49ba-bc69-1ac251d16c38
Jordan MillerLACUTASFSFLEX2.510.295363867bccc-3060-415b-a7ca-4ad2b638e915
MarJon BeauchampLACUTASGSFLEX2.510.29636318efa75-9a10-46f1-be3f-4c245bd91cfd
Jock LandaleHOUGSWCSFLEX2.410.19740e82401eb-4779-4b3f-8cd6-441e58c9ce7d
Adam FlaglerOKCMINSGSFLEX1.69.498401ad92347-b2a1-47c0-a494-acc3d9a6b336
Alex DucasOKCMINPFSFLEX1.38.999361065511a-a82e-4ca4-8ff9-373e6013b930
Pelle LarssonMIADALSGSFLEX1.38.9100403cd0451a-caca-4d14-bfa1-c24f86e38595