Last Updated: October 20th at 11:32am ET
Editor’s Note: We may not write up every player we consider to be a top play. Be sure to consult the chart at the bottom of the page. This page will be updated once on Sunday morning, if necessary.
You don’t have to play cash games to understand why it’s important to grasp them. Players we consider for cash are the ones we believe are the most underpriced, have the best floor/ceiling combo and feature a relatively tight range of outcomes. In other words, these are the best plays on the board once price, slate context and positional depth is accounted for. Those sound like pretty good options for GPPs as well.
The optimal GPP lineup will mix some of these cash-type plays with higher-variance options in correlated lineups. In cash games (where roughly 50% of the field gets paid out), we don’t worry about ownership or game stacks or correlation. In large-field tournaments, our ACO (average cumulative ownership) should stay reasonably low.
With all that said, these are our Top Plays considering the following factors: Median projection, matchup, upside and value. Ownership is not considered here. Generally speaking, these players are what we consider to be “head-to-head and 50/50 considerations.” They are listed in price descending order (NOT ranked by “best play”). At the bottom, you’ll find suggested rankings by site once salary is accounted for.
Lamar Jackson ($6800 DK, $8400 FD) — No Marquise Brown (ankle) again, but weekly floor on Lamar is absurd. He has at least 20 DK points in six of his last seven games and hasn’t scored fewer than 14 in a NFL single game he’s started.
Russell Wilson ($6600 DK, $8500 FD) — The absurd efficiency is not an outlier — it’s simply what Russ does. He’s relatively cheaper on DraftKings by a decent amount for this neutral (at worst) home matchup against the Ravens.
Josh Allen ($6500 DK, $7700 FD) — The bargains are over as Allen is now in the top tier of condensed QB pricing. But he the floor/ceiling combo against the Dolphins is elite. They’re dead last in nearly every pass defense category due to an extreme dearth of talent.
Matt Ryan ($6300 DK, $7900 FD) — Six straight 300-yard games to start the season is not a fluke. The Falcons’ run-game woes coupled with an inept pass defense creates massive opportunity for Ryan and his elite weapons.
Saquon Barkley ($8900 DK, $8600 FD) — The ankle is reportedly ready to rock after practicing full all week, and just in time for one of the best possible matchups against the Cardinals. Barkley is far easier to fit on Fanduel, but certainly can get there on DraftKings as well.
Dalvin Cook ($8000 DK, $8300 FD) — Blowouts have capped Dalvin’s snap rate and touches, but Sunday sets up for an extended workload. It’s a division game against an opponent which has been buried by opposing run games, as noted in Silva’s Matchups.
Leonard Fournette ($7000 DK, $7900 FD) — Christian McCaffery-esque usage against the league’s worst run defense. Expect Fournette to be among the most-owned players on both sites on the entire slate.
Chris Carson ($6500 DK, $7600 FD) — The return of Rashaad Penny (hamstring) gives the Seahawks another option, but it’s clear they’re enamored with Carson. He has at least 15 carries in every game this year, has at least 22 in each of the last three games and is on pace for 50-catch season.
Latavius Murray ($5100 DK, $5300 FD) — Latavius is tougher sell on DraftKings where he’s priced the same as Kerryon Johnson, who is also in play. But on Fanduel Murray is just $800 over minimum in a spot he’ll be getting 15-20 touches with one of the league’s best offensive lines.
Julio Jones ($8200 FD) — Target share remains a slight concern with Austin Hooper, Devonta Freeman, Calvin Ridley, Mo Sanu all squarely in the mix. But Jones’ price/ceiling combo on Fanduel is appetizing.
Cooper Kupp ($7400 DK, $7800 FD) — Last week’s massive dud at 16% ownership will give some folks pause — particularly at lower stakes. As noted in Matchups, Kupp’s spot this week is mouthwatering.
TY Hilton ($5900 DK) — An egregious misprice on DraftKings as a now-healthy Hilton faces a beat-up and leaky Texans secondary. Will likely be the most-owned WR on that site.
Tyler Boyd ($5600 DK, $5600 FD) — Boyd is in play on DraftKings, but is absurdly cheap on Fanduel. Has at least 10 targets in four of six games this year.
John Brown ($5500 DK, $5900 FD) — Brown was limited by a groin injury early in the week, but appears fine. Wildly underpriced on Fanduel, especially as he catches the perfect matchup.
Allen Lazard ($3000 DK, $4500 FD) — Davante Adams is out and Geronimo Allison/MVS are very questionable. The Packers have gotten nothing out of Jake Kumerow, Jimmy Graham or Darrius Shepherd. Enter Lazard, who opens up the salary cap in a massive way on DraftKings. He’s not as needed on Fanduel with Tyler Boyd, Calvin Ridley and John Brown types priced so cheaply.
Evan Engram ($6500 DK, $6800 FD) — Engram practiced full all week and is healthy just in time for the best matchup he’ll see all year. Very soft price tag on Fanduel, bit harder to fit on DraftKings.
Austin Hooper ($5300 DK, $6600 FD) — Tons of trust with Matt Ryan, has seen at least six targets in every game and is averaging 8.3 per day. Rams been destroyed by tight ends last few weeks.
Mark Andrews ($4900 DK, $6700 FD) — Finally over his ankle/shoulder/foot woes and off the injury report. Target share gets a bump with Hollywood Brown (ankle) not expected to play.
Darren Waller ($4700 DK, $6200 FD) — Coming out of bye healthy and again the focal point of Oakland’s pass game — particularly with Tyrell Williams likely sidelined.
Hunter Henry ($4000 DK, $5700 FD) — Massive role in return last week, lining up slot or wide on 30 of his 41 snaps. Concerns here are play volume (as noted by Pat Thorman) and a lot of mouths to feed for Philip Rivers.
Bills ($4300 DK, $5500 FD) — This historically bad Dolphins team has no prayer against an elite Bills unit in the Ralph.
Bears ($3000 DK, $4500 FD) — Off a bye with a home game against Teddy Bridgewater is a nice place for this defense to get right.
Saints ($2900 DK, $4400 FD) — Brandon Thorn’s No. 3 mismatch of the week is this dominant Saints front against the Bears struggling offensive line.
Colts ($2000 DK, $3600 FD) — Viable punt on both sites. Deshaun Watson took the most sacks in the league last year and has taken the fifth-most this year.
|1||Matt Ryan||Josh Allen|
|2||Lamar Jackson||Matt Ryan|
|3||Russell Wilson||Lamar Jackson|
|4||Josh Allen||Russell Wilson|
|5||Jared Goff||Kyler Murray|
|1||Leonard Fournette||Leonard Fournette|
|2||Dalvin Cook||Latavius Murray|
|3||Saquon Barkley||Saquon Barkley|
|4||Chris Carson||Dalvin Cook|
|5||Devonta Freeman||Chris Carson|
|6||Latavius Murray||Derrick Henry|
|1||T.Y. Hilton||Tyler Boyd|
|2||Cooper Kupp||Larry Fitzgerald|
|3||Kenny Golladay||Cooper Kupp|
|4||Tyler Boyd||Calvin Ridley|
|5||John Brown||John Brown|
|6||Julio Jones||Tyler Lockett|
|7||Brandin Cooks||Julio Jones|
|1||Mark Andrews||Evan Engram|
|2||Darren Waller||Mark Andrews|
|3||Hunter Henry||Darren Waller|
|4||Evan Engram||George Kittle|
|5||Austin Hooper||Austin Hooper|