We’re nearing the end of the road for this fantasy season.  With that in mind, if you have any FAAB left at this point, use it all on an asset that can either help your team or to keep an upgrade away from an opponent.  If you have any questions, feel free to contact me on Twitter @RyanReynNJ or via email at [email protected]

Week 15 Waiver Wire

Quarterback.

  1. Ryan Tannehill – 15% FAAB Budget
  2. Ryan Fitzpatrick – 10%
  3. Daniel Jones – 10% (Check injury status)
  4. Matthew Stafford – 8% (Elevate if he’s trending towards playing)
  5. Mitch Trubisky – 6%
  6. Gardner Minshew – 5%
  7. Andy Dalton – 5% (Week 16 matchup vs Miami)
  8. Jacoby Brissett – 3%
  9. Derek Carr – 3%
  10. Kyle Allen – 3%
  11. Ryan Griffin – 3% (Dependent on Jameis Winston’s status) 

Running Back
Note: Raheem Mostert has received lead back workload in back-to-back weeks and would top this list.

  1. Adrian Peterson – 30% FAAB Budget
  2. DeAndre Washington – 30%
  3. Patrick Laird – 25%
  4. Darwin Thompson – 20%
  5. Spencer Ware – 20%
  6. Boston Scott – 20%
  7. Bilal Powell – 20%
  8. Chris Thompson – 20%
  9. Jalen Richard – 20%
  10. Bo Scarbrough – 20%
  11. Ty Montgomery – 10%
  12. Dion Lewis – 10%
  13. C.J. Prosise – 10%

 

Wide Receiver

  1. A.J. Brown – 50% FAAB Budget
  2. Darius Slayton – 40%
  3. Anthony Miller – 30%
  4. Zach Pascal – 30%
  5. Kenny Stills – 25%
  6. John Ross – 25%
  7. Corey Davis – 20%
  8. Keke Coutee – 20%
  9. Chris Conley – 10%
  10. Breshad Perriman – 10%
  11. Allen Hurns – 10%
  12. Alex Erickson – 10%
  13. Marcus Johnson – 10%
  14. Isaiah Ford – 5%
  15. Justin Watson – 5%
  16. Christian Blake – 5%
  17. Olamide Zaccheaus – 5%

 

Tight End

  1. O.J. Howard – 50% FAAB Budget
  2. David Njoku – 50%
  3. Mike Gesicki – 40%
  4. Noah Fant – 40% (Dependent on injury status)
  5. Ian Thomas – 30%
  6. Hayden Hurst – 10% (Dependent on Mark Andrews status)

 

Defense

  1. Chiefs – 10% FAAB Budget
  2. Seahawks – 8%
  3. Chargers – 6%
  4. Cardinals – 2%
  5. Giants – 0%

 

Kicker

  1. Matt Gay – 1% FAAB Budget
  2. Robbie Gould – 1%

 

Drop Considerations

QB: Sam Darnold
RB: Rashaad Penny, Derrius Guice, Jordan Howard, Tevin Coleman
WR: Calvin Ridley
TE: Vance McDonald

Quarterback.

  1. Ryan Tannehill, QB, Titans, 15% FAAB Budget: Tannehill continued to stay white hot last week, throwing for 391 yards and 3 touchdowns as his Titans hung 42 points on the Raiders in Oakland. In Week 15, Tannehill’s Titans are 2 ½ point home favorites with an implied team total of 26 ¼ against the rival Texans.  This contest has Week 15’s highest game total with 50 points and it could ultimately decide who wins the AFC South.  Houston has been shredded through the air all season, most recently being torched by Broncos rookie quarterback Drew Lock for 309 yards passing and 3 touchdowns.  We’ve gotten to the point where Tannehill has been a legitimately reliable fantasy asset since taking over the starting job back in Week 7.  If you’re looking for a streamer, Tannehill has been consistent for nearly two months and he has a fantastic Week 15 matchup against Houston.
  1. Ryan Fitzpatrick, QB, Dolphins, 10%: Fitzpatrick’s Dolphins are 3-point road underdogs against the Giants in Week 15. The upside in playing Fitzpatrick in this spot is that the game total is 48-points, the Giants pass defense has been torched all season, and the Dolphins inability to run the ball has led to Fitzpatrick having a range between 33 and 45 pass attempts per game since Week 7.  Fitzpatrick also brings some threat as a rusher, going over 40 yards on the ground twice to go with 3 rushing scores during that 7-game stretch.  The downside to playing Fitzpatrick is that wide receiver DeVante Parker is currently in the concussion protocol and the Dolphins talent-lite roster gives all of their offensive assets a volatile floor.
  1. Daniel Jones, QB, Giants, 10%: It’s entirely possible that Jones will miss his second-straight game due to a high-ankle sprain, giving Eli Manning another start at quarterback. So, if you’re considering Jones this week or next, you have to monitor his injury status.  Regardless, if Jones is able to return his Week 15 matchup as a 3-point home favorite over the Dolphins is as good as it gets.  Jones has struggled in most games this season, but he has posted monster box scores against back-of-the-pack pass defenses such as the Buccaneers, Lions, and Jets.  Miami’s pass defense fits right in with that group.  The path to failure for Jones against Miami, apart from outright missing the game, could involve running back Saquon Barkley finally having a monster performance on the ground or Jones still being limited by his ankle injury.
  1. Matthew Stafford, QB, Lions, 8%: Stafford is unlikely to return to action this season due to his back injury.  But if he does, the Lions host the Buccaneers in an indoor game, with two highly capable passing offenses, with exploitable secondaries, and mediocre pass rushes.  Those are shootout conditions in a contest that currently has a 47 ½ point game total.  If Stafford is active, he has very clear QB1 upside this week and it would not be a surprise if that game total rose to 50 if Stafford returns to action.
  1. Mitch Trubisky, QB, Bears, 6%: Over his last three games Trubisky has posted 20.92, 27.92, and most recently 33.06 Draft Kings points. While Trubisky’s 3-game stretch of playing well is excellent news, his 10 carries for 63 yards against Dallas last Thursday is reason for genuine optimism, as Trubisky’s ability as a runner is among his best traits as a quarterback.  In Week 15, the Bears travel to Green Bay for a date with the rival Packers.  Trubisky has yet to post more than a middling fantasy box score against the Packers in his career, while the Bears only have an 18 ½ implied team total while being 4-point road underdogs.  So, if you are considering playing Trubisky expect moderate returns in this matchup.  Trubisky has an appealing home matchup in Week 16 against the Chiefs.
  1. Gardner Minshew, QB, Jaguars, 5%: At this point, it might be best to avoid the Jaguars whenever possible, as they have been blown out 5 games in a row. With that said, they head to Oakland in Week 15 to face a Raiders defense that just gave up 391 yards passing to Titans quarterback Ryan Tannehill.  After that, they head to Atlanta to play a Falcons defense that has been better in recent weeks but has still yielded 325 and then 293 yards passing to Panthers quarterback Kyle Allen during two blowout wins for the Falcons.
  1. Andy Dalton, QB, Bengals, 5%: You probably don’t want to play Dalton against a Patriots defense that has lost back-to-back games this week. You may want to play Dalton against the Dolphins in Week 16, however.
  1. Jacoby Brissett, QB, Colts, 3%: Brissett is a thin streaming option in most formats going forward, but he warrants mentioning for 2-QB leagues. The Colts head to New Orleans for Monday Night Football in Week 15, which is a spot that should be avoided whenever possible considering how decimated the Colts receiving corps is.  However, there is a path to Brissett accumulating some garbage time numbers as the Saints are 9 ½ point home favorites.  In Week 16, Brissett hosts the freefalling Panthers in a matchup where one can reasonably expect the Colts to try and establish the run against a Panthers defense that has been almost shockingly bad against the run this season.
  1. Derek Carr, QB, Raiders, 3%: Carr is another thin streaming option that only warrants mention in either 2-QB formats or very deep leagues. In Week 15, the Raiders host a Jaguars team that has lost by 17 or more points in each of their last 5 games.  While Carr has not exceeded 300-yards passing this season and has only thrown for 3 touchdowns once in 2019, Week 15’s matchup as a 6-point home favorite over the Jaguars is pretty strong.  Week 16’s matchup against the Chargers should probably be avoided whenever possible.
  1. Kyle Allen, QB, Panthers, 3%: Playing Allen in the fantasy playoffs should only be done when absolutely necessary. With that said, Carolina hosts the Seahawks in Week 15 and visits Indianapolis in Week 16.  Both of those are fair matchups for those in 2-QB leagues.
  2. Ryan Griffin, QB, Buccaneers, 3%: Griffin threw the first 4 regular season passes of his NFL career last week while Jameis Winston was briefly sidelined with a broken right thumb.  Right now, it appears that Winston will play next week against the Lions despite the injury.  Should Winston’s availability change, Griffin could be a valuable asset in 2-QB formats and large leagues.

 

Running Back
Note: Raheem Mostert has received lead back workload in back-to-back weeks and would top this list.

  1. Adrian Peterson, RB, Redskins, 30% FAAB Budget: With running back Derrius Guice already out for at least this week with a knee injury, Peterson returns to a primary ball carrier role in the Redskins run-first offense. The Redskins host the Eagles in Week 15 and then a potentially very appealing matchup against the Giants in Week 16.
  1. DeAndre Washington, RB, Raiders, 30%: Rookie running back Josh Jacobs sat in Week 14 with a fractured shoulder. While Jacobs is the current favorite for the Offensive Rookie of the Year crown, the Raiders are more-or-less out of the playoff picture and it would be extremely reasonable if Oakland did not subject the rookie running back to contact until he’s full heeled.  Enter Washington, who received 14 of the Raiders 22 running back carries last week in Jacobs absence.  On top of his 53 yards rushing with a score, Washington caught 6-of-7 targets for 43 yards, putting him firmly ahead of Jalen Richard in the Raiders running back timeshare with Jacobs sidelined.  The Raiders face a Jaguars team that has been blown out in each of their last 5 games in Week 15.
  1. Patrick Laird, RB, Dolphins, 25%: Miami has struggled to run the ball all season, but Laird convincingly led the team in running back workload against the Jets with 48 yards rushing on 15 carries to go with 4 catches on 5 targets for 38 yards. Laird can be a potential asset going forward given last week’s workload, his ability as a pass catcher, and the Dolphins appealing matchups at the Giants in Week 15 followed by a home game with the Bengals in Week 16.
  1. Darwin Thompson, RB, Chiefs, 20%: The Chiefs deployed a nearly even three-headed timeshare at running back in Week 14 at New England. Thompson was narrowly third out of that group in offensive snaps (21) and carries (4 for 7 yards) while hauling in a backfield leading 4-of-5 targets for 36 yards.  Running back Spencer Ware was signed off the streets and led the running back group in snaps (30) with Damien Williams   While the passing game usage for Thompson brings some promise, it’s hard to play any of the Chiefs running back options given their current situations.
  1. Spencer Ware, RB, Chiefs, 20%: Ware was signed off the street before Week 14’s matchup with the Patriots. Ware only had 11 yards on 5 carries along with 1 catch on 2 targets for negative 9 yards while shockingly leading the Chiefs backfield in offensive snaps with 30.  If Damien Williams remains out, Ware leading LeSean McCoy and Darwin Thompson in snaps despite not being with the team a week ago brings some small level of optimism that his role will grow, considering his familiarity with the system.
  1. Boston Scott, RB, Eagles, 20%: Scott played a big role in the second half during the Eagles come from behind victory against the Giants on Monday Night Football. Scott ran for 59 yards on 10 carries with a score while catching all 6 of his targets for 69 yards.  His performance and ability to make defenders miss in space injected some life into a previously dead Eagles offense.  It would not be a surprise if his role were to expand going forward, particularly as a pass catcher.
  1. Bilal Powell, RB, Jets, 20%: With running back Le’Veon Bell out and his future status unknown, Powell led the Jets backfield in Week 14 against Miami with 74 yards on 19 carries to go with 2 catches on 3 targets for 14 yards. Powell also has an injury concern (ankle) heading into Week 15’s Thursday Night matchup with the Ravens.  Given the difficult matchups coming for the Jets and Powell’s current injury uncertainty, his value is entirely dependent on volume if Bell remains out and Powell is able to suit up again this season.
  1. Chris Thompson, RB, Redskins, 20%: With running back Derrius Guice set to miss at least one week with a knee injury, Thompson’s 7 catches for 43 yards on a team leading 8 targets against the Packers last week could become close to the new norm in what has been a bad Redskins offense this season. Thompson has added value in PPR formats, particularly in games in which the Redskins are likely to play from behind.
  1. Jalen Richard, RB, Raiders, 20%: With rookie running back Josh Jacobs sidelined with a fractured shoulder last week against the Titans, Richard fell in behind DeAndre Washington for 28 yards on 7 carries to go with 2 catches on 3 targets for 18 yards receiving. While Washington doubling Richard’s carries is not surprising, more than doubling Richard’s targets is less likely to be the new norm if Jacobs remains sidelined.  Still, Richard’s viability as a pass catching asset is volatile based on volume and he would only warrant a roster spot in leagues with deep benches.
  1. Bo Scarbrough, RB, Lions, 20%: It has not been the prettiest transition, but Scarbrough has received the lions share of the carries in Detroit in each of their last 4 games with limited passing game usage. Scarbrough continues to have some value in standard scoring leagues due to his workload.  Scarbrough injured his ribs last week against the Vikings but said that he will be “fine for next week.”
  1. Ty Montgomery, RB, Jets, 10%: Running back Le’Veon Bell missed Week 14’s game with the flu, but was later reported as being out all night bowling that evening. In Bell’s absence, Bilal Powell saw the majority of the running back workload for the Jets against Miami, but he has an injury concern (ankle) heading into Week 15.  Given Powell’s uncertain injury status and Bell’s increasingly bizarre relationship with the Jets, there is a clear path to Montgomery seeing a significant workload, on a short week, against the Ravens this Thursday.
  1. Dion Lewis, RB, Titans, 10%: Running back Derrick Henry is, once again, owning the month of December. However, Henry has been on the injury report in recent weeks and Lewis would serve as Henry’s primary handcuff should his injury status decline.
  1. C.J. Prosise, RB, Seahawks, 10%: With Rashaad Penny out for the rest of the season, Prosise is next in line behind running back Chris Carson for the Seahawks.

 

Wide Receiver

  1. A.J. Brown, WR, Titans, 50% FAAB Budget: Brown has not seen consistently high usage on a week-to-week basis this season, ranging from as low as 2 targets in a game to a high of 7. However, Brown has put together several spike performances built off big plays, including last week’s 5-153-2 monster box score in Oakland.  In Week 15 against the Texans, Brown’s ceiling is extremely high against a Houston pass defense that just yielded 309 yards in the air to Broncos rookie quarterback Drew Lock.  While you should not bank on a usage spike for Brown this week, Titans vs Texans has Week 15’s highest game total (50 points) and there is a legitimate path for Brown to have another big game in this spot.
  1. Darius Slayton, WR, Giants, 40%: Slayton’s monster 5-154-2 line on Monday Night Football accounted for 75% of the Giants passing offense against the Eagles. Slayton has another very appealing matchup coming in Week 15 against the Dolphins, who were just torched by Jets speedster Robby Anderson for 7-116-1 last week.  While the matchup is appealing, this is also a great spot for Giants running back Saquon Barkely.  Slayton will also be competing for targets with Sterling Shepard, Golden Tate, and maybe even Evan Engram if the latter is able to return from injury.  So, while Slayton’s ceiling is legitimately high once again this week, the Giants have a number of legitimate options in their passing game, making it difficult to predict who of that group will see the most significant usage.
  1. Anthony Miller, WR, Bears, 30%: Bears quarterback Mitch Trubisky’s hot streak has coincided with Miller’s string of fantasy-relevant games, as Miller posted a 3-42-1 line against Dallas last Thursday Night. Week 15’s matchup in Green Bay comes with a low 18 ½ point implied team total for the Bears, which regulates Miller as more of a superflex option for the week.  Week 16’s matchup at home versus the Chiefs has a clearer path to a higher scoring game total, increasing Miller’s potential viability in a wider variety of formats.
  1. Zach Pascal, WR, Colts, 30%: Pascal is the last man standing in the Colts wide receiver group, which has driven his fantasy value up in recent weeks. In an elite matchup against Tampa, Pascal caught 5-of-9 targets for 74 yards and a score.  For Week 15 in New Orleans, Pascal could draw shadow coverage from Saints corner back Marshon Lattimore if Y. Hilton remains sidelined.  If you’re deciding whether or not to play Pascal in that scenario, keep that matchup with an elite corner back in mind.
  1. Kenny Stills, WR, Texans, 25%: Stills playing time has been massive when wide receiver Will Fuller has missed time, but Stills’ production and his usage have fallen below expectations in those opportunities. In Week 15, Houston’s matchup with Tennessee is the highest game total (50 points) of the slate.  In Week 16, Houston heads to Tampa in what will likely be an even higher game total considering the Bucs bad pass defense and high-ceiling offense.  If Fuller misses either of those spots, Stills will have very strong opportunities.  If Fuller returns in either matchup, Stills” fantasy value would be significantly limited.
  1. John Ross, WR, Bengals, 25%: In Ross’s return to action against the Browns last week, he saw just under 50% of the snaps while catching 2-of-3 targets for 28 yards. There is almost no reason to play Ross against the Patriots this week, but it will be worth monitoring his usage with a Week 16 date against the Dolphins on deck.  If Ross’s playing time increases against the Patriots, he could be a difference making asset versus Miami as long as A.J. Green continues to sit.
  1. Corey Davis, WR, Titans, 20%: While Davis and rookie wide receiver A.J. Brown have jointly served as the number 1 receiver in the Titans offense for most of the season, Brown has surged ahead of Davis over the last several weeks. Still, the Titans have a tremendous matchup with the Texans in Week 15’s highest projected game total (50).  While the prospect of playing Davis comes with an extremely low floor based on sporadic usage, there is also a path to upside in this matchup.
  1. Keke Coutee, WR, Texans, 20%: 2019 has been an awful roller coaster of a season for the promising slot receiver Coutee, who has found himself in the doghouse at multiple junctures this year. During Week 14’s embarrassing loss to Denver, Coutee played 55-of-76 offensive snaps while catching 5-of-8 targets for 68 yards.  Given the Texans plus matchups against the Titans in Week 15 and the Buccaneers in Week 16, Coutee should be back on the radar for fantasy owners in deep leagues.
  1. Chris Conley, WR, Jaguars, 10%: The Jaguars have been blown out in each of their last 5 games, making it nearly impossible to trust a complimentary part like Conley. Still, the Jaguars looming visits to Oakland in Week 15 and Atlanta in Week 16 are two of the best possible matchups any wide receiver could have.  While Conley’s floor is low given the state of the Jaguars football operation, these matchups give him enough upside to make him worth consideration in deep leagues.
  1. Breshad Perriman, WR, Buccaneers, 10%: Wide receiver Mike Evans could be out for the year, which means that Perriman is in line for an expanded role the rest of the way. With Evans leaving early with injury last week against the Colts, Perriman’s 65 offensive snaps were only behind Chris Godwin’s for Bucs wide receivers as Perriman posted a 3-70-1 line on 5 targets.  The speedster Perriman has had an up and down career to date, but this marks a great opportunity in Bruce Arians’ offense while Evans is sidelined.
  1. Allen Hurns, WR, Dolphins, 10%: The primary appeal of Hurns rests on the availability of DeVante Parker heading into Week 15’s top-shelf matchup with the Giants. If Parker misses, Hurns could become quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick’s new favorite target against a very mediocre Giants pass defense.  Even if Parker returns, Hurns would warrant superflex consideration in this matchup.
  1. Alex Erickson, WR, Bengals, 10%: Auden Tate’s injury uncertainty could open the door for Erickson, who has shown that he can be productive when given opportunity. While all Bengals should probably be avoided against the Patriots this week, Week 16’s matchup with Miami is as good as it gets.  Should Tate miss time, Erickson could become a valuable asset in deep leagues next week.
  1. Marcus Johnson, WR, Colts, 10%: Availability in an injury ravaged Colts wide receiver group is the basis for Johnson’s fantasy value going forward. Last week against the Buccaneers Johnson caught 3-of-7 targets for 105 yards and a score.  Johnson’s 35-yards per catch is not going to be sustainable, but his 7 targets is encouraging for those in league’s with deep rosters.
  1. Isaiah Ford, WR, Dolphins, 5%: DeVante Parker’s injury status heading into Week 15’s matchup with the Giants will determine Ford’s fantasy viability, as Ford caught 6-of-9 targets for 92 yards against the Jets last week. Quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick has a history of having favorite targets, and Ford saw a massive usage spike in Parker’s absence last week.
  1. Justin Watson, WR, Buccaneers, 5%: Mike Evans potentially season-ending injury opens the door for other Buccaneers wide receivers to have an expanded role alongside Chris Godwin. It’s likely that Breshad Perriman gets the first crack at that opportunity, but Watson should also be on the radar given the Bucs offense reliance on the passing game.
  1. Christian Blake, WR, Falcons, 5%: With Calvin Ridley done for the year, Falcons head coach Dan Quinn has said that Blake and Olamide Zaccheaus will step into his role. Blake did not see any usage last week, but he had 9 targets in each of the previous two games while Julio Jones was sidelined.
  1. Olamide Zaccheaus, WR, Falcons, 5%: With Calvin Ridley done for the year, Falcons head coach Dan Quinn has said that Blake and Olamide Zaccheaus will step into his role. Zaccheaus only saw 1 target on the season before Week 14, while he caught 1-of-2 targets for a 93-yard score last week against Carolina.

 

Tight End

  1. O.J. Howard, TE, Buccaneers, 50% FAAB Budget: Mike Evans season-ending injury could reasonably open the door for a more consistent, considerable role for Howard down the stretch. During last week’s shootout with the Colts, Howard caught 4-of-5 targets for 73 yards, which followed a 5-61 line in Week 13 against the Jaguars.  If you acquire or already have Howard, it would be in your best interest to keep your eyes out for reliable reports on Howard’s role in Evans absence.
  1. David Njoku, TE, Browns, 50%: Njoku has the best possible matchup in Week 15 against a Cardinals defense that has been eviscerated by tight ends throughout the 2019 season. However, Njoku only returned to action last week after a stint on injured reserve.  He only played 37% of the snaps last week with minimal usage, catching 1-of-3 targets for 4 yards.  Njoku also has stiff competition for targets with running back Kareem Hunt along with wide receivers Jarvis Landry and Odell Beckham Jr.  Playing Njoku this week is very much a boom or bust play in a high-upside matchup.
  1. Mike Gesicki, TE, Dolphins, 40%: Gesicki’s considerable volume continued in Week 14, as he saw 5 targets against the Jets. The problem for his fantasy owners was that he only caught one of them for six yards.  Week 15’s matchup with the Giants is appealing for all Dolphins pass catchers.  While Gesicki is no Zach Ertz, Eagles tight ends Ertz and Dallas Goedert combined for 12 catches, 132 yards, and 2 touchdowns against the Big Blue last Monday Night.  If DeVante Parker cannot get out of the concussion protocol in time for this matchup, it’s possible Gesicki could see a usage spike next week.
  1. Noah Fant, TE, Broncos, 40%: Fant had a big day (4-113-1) during the Broncos unexpected takedown of the Texans last week. On the positive side, Fant busted another long gain and is proving himself to be an elite athlete at the tight end position.  On the downside, Fant enters Week 15 with injury concerns (foot, hip) and he only had 4 targets, which marks a usage reduction for Fant in both of Drew Locks’
  1. Ian Thomas, TE, Panthers, 30%: In for the injured Greg Olsen, Thomas caught 5-of-10 targets on 61 offensive snaps for 57 yards and a score in Week 14 against Atlanta. Given the state of the freefalling Panthers, it would make sense if they kept Olsen out to give Thomas some meaningful run.  While we probably should not expect 10 targets a game from here on out, Thomas could serve as a solid streaming option down the stretch for as long as Olsen remains sidelined.
  1. Hayden Hurst, TE, Ravens, 10%: Mark Andrews knee injury is not considered serious and he has a chance to return in time for Thursday Night Football against the Jets this week. However, if Andrew can’t go Hurst is a former first-round pick that caught all 3 of his targets for 73 yards and a score last week against Buffalo.  Should Andrews status decline, Hurst would find himself in a great position against the Jets this Thursday.

 

Defense

  1. Chiefs Defense vs Broncos, 10% FAAB Budget: The Chiefs defense has been playing well since Week 7 against Denver, accumulating 26 sacks and 7 turnovers during that 7-game span. In Week 15, they host a Broncos team whose rookie quarterback Drew Lock shockingly blew the doors off the Texans.  Picking up the Chiefs defense and streaming them this week is a bet against Lock being able to play at a high level two weeks in a row.  The Chiefs are also a viable streaming option next week in Chicago.
  1. Seahawks Defense at Panthers, 8%: While we would prefer this matchup if it was in Seattle, defenses that have played the Panthers over their last 5 games are averaging 12.8 Draft Kings points against Carolina during that span. Taking Seattle here, who is coming off a no-show loss against the Rams on national television last week, is a bet on a playoff team in a bounce back spot that doubles as a bet against Kyle Allen and a reeling Panthers offense.
  1. Chargers Defense vs Vikings, 6%: The Chargers defense has disappointed on the season and this matchup has a clear path to failure against a potentially playoff-bound Vikings offense. However, elite safety Derwin James is back and the Chargers elite edge duo of Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram has a strong chance to disrupt Kirk Cousins behind an average Vikings offensive line.
  1. Cardinals Defense vs Browns, 2%: This is thin, as the Cardinals defense has had it’s issues all season. However, Baker Mayfield has an injury on his throwing hand, the big personalities on the Browns roster are indicating some significant internal issues towards the end of a very disappointing season for Cleveland, and the Browns offensive line continues to be mediocre.  So, while using the Cardinals should be avoided in most spots as it is a very volatile play, betting on Chandler Jones to have an impact in this game comes with some upside if you’re waiver wire is barren and you’d rather not get involved in playing the Giants or Dolphins defense.
  1. Giants Defense vs Dolphins, 0%: The Giants defense is not very good, to put it mildly. But, they did show an occasional push against an Eagles offensive line that is vastly superior to the Dolphins last Monday Night.  Ryan Fitzpatrick has also thrown 12 interceptions and taken 33 sacks on the season.

 

Kicker

  1. Matt Gay, K, Buccaneers, 1% FAAB Budget: Gay will be kicking in Detroit’s indoor venue, in a contest with a strong 47 ½ point game total.
  1. Robbie Gould, K, 49ers, 1%: After their Week 14 shootout in New Orleans, the 49ers head home to face the Falcons as 10 ½ point home favorites with an implied team total of 28 ¾.

 

Ryan Reynolds has privately analyzed football for investing and betting purposes for nearly two decades.  Ryan began forecasting by using sports cards as a method of investing in individual baseball and football players, a practice he still takes part in today.  Ryan plays DFS, high-volume best ball, and season-long fantasy while directly betting on props, totals, and point spreads that meet his conditions.  Ryan has watched every snap, of every NFL game since 2014.