CFB Large-Field GPP Breakdown: Week 7

Last Saturday was one of those days you dream about as a college football fan, unless of course you’re a fan of one of the seven top-25 teams that got upset. It really should have been eight teams that lost on Saturday. Miami is still continuing their best 2022 TCU impersonation, and barely snuck out with a 39-38 win at Cal. Insert Jesse Pinkman “He can’t keep getting away with it” gif here.

This was one of the roughest CFB DFS weekends for me in a while, but no matter those results, I’m still a CFB fan first. When you get some entertaining games with unexpected results, it definitely softens the blow.

Week 6 Recap

• CJ Bailey was projected to be chalk all week. Then, an hour before kickoff, it was announced that Grayson McCall was going to start for NC State. McCall was $5,500, only $400 more than Bailey, so it was pretty easy to make the swap. I was feeling very confident about the slate when lock came and Bailey was 7% owned and McCall, the actual starter, was only 10%. On NC State’s first drive of the game, McCall scrambled up the middle and got knocked out cold by a Wake Forest defender and that was the end of his day, and most of my main-slate lineups. Did I tell y’all I love CFB DFS?!?
• It was one of the more injury-laden main slates in a while. Garrett Greene busted a long run early in the game and came up injured. He did return to put up 20 DK points, but at $8,000, that simply wasn’t enough. Tre Harris got hurt late in the first half and would not return, only scoring 11 fantasy points and disappointing at his $8,900 salary. Greene was the highest-owned QB and Harris was the second-highest-owned WR.
• Who was the highest-owned WR you ask? Well, that was Caullin Lacy at 55%. Yes, the same one I locked, go figure. He only put up three fantasy points, hauling in two passes for a whopping one yard. It wasn’t like Lacy wasn’t out there at all; he played 41 of the 70 offensive snaps and had four targets. The play just didn’t work out, as his teammate, Ja’Corey Brooks, stole the show with a 3/21/2 stat line. Since I locked Lacy, the only lineups I really had with Brooks included Tyler Shough, who did just OK with 20 fantasy points. I was surprised when I saw Brooks was 20% owned, and if you didn’t have him and his 30 fantasy points, it was pretty hard to stay relevant in large-field GPPs. We get Lacy at $3,900 this week against Virginia. It will be interesting to see how many people hop off when he’s essentially the same play this week.
• I know it’s starting to feel like, because it’s probably true, you should just lock in Eli Holstein and Desmond Reid for Pitt every week. Their offense has just been unstoppable so far this season. Holstein and Reid finished 1-2 in DK points on Saturday, and they were both owned 15% or more. Pitt is once again on the main slate this weekend against Cal. Holstein is $9,700 and Reid is $9,400. Fade at your own risk.
• I feel like I keep saying it, but these DK main slates feel like they’ve been so low from a winning GPP score perspective. The $50,000 winner this week put up 219 points. It surprisingly did not include Holstein, but they did have Reid and Brooks. The key to the lineup was a pair of 2%-owned players. Kevin Jennings put up 31 fantasy points and Le’Veon Moss had 40 of his own. It even got the job done despite a snowflake from Jordan Hudson and De’Zhaun Stribling only mustering 13 points.

Week 7 Preview