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The 2024 PGA season is here. Get the industry’s best projections

Injuries
*Patrick Beverley (calf) — Out
*Montrezl Harrell (personal)  — Out
*Kawhi Leonard (rest) – Out
*Hassan Whiteside (hip) — Doubtful
*Doug McDermott (knee) — Questionable
*Myles Turner (ankle) — Questionable
*T.J. Warren (foot) — Questionable
*Alex Caruso (neck) — Questionable
*Anthony Davis (ankle) — Probable
*Dwight Howard (knee) — Probable
*LeBron James (groin) — Questionable (will play)
*Markieff Morris (hip) — Probable
*Jimmy Butler (foot) — Out
*Goran Dragic (ankle) — Questionable
*Kendrick Nunn (personal) — Out
*Gabe Vincent (knee) — Probable
*Aron Baynes (knee) — Out
*Elie Okobo (ankle) — Out
*Kelly Oubre (knee) — Doubtful
*Seth Curry (leg) — Questionable
*Dorian Finney-Smith (hip) — Questionable

You don’t have to play cash games to understand why it’s important to grasp them. Players we consider for cash are the ones we believe are the most underpriced, have the best floor/ceiling combo and feature a relatively tight range of outcomes. In other words, these are the best plays on the board once price, slate context and positional depth is accounted for. Those sound like pretty good options for GPPs as well.

The optimal GPP lineup will mix some of these cash-type plays with higher-variance options. In cash games (where roughly 50% of the field gets paid out), we don’t worry about ownership or game stacks or correlation. In large-field tournaments, our ACO (average cumulative ownership) should stay reasonably low.

With all that said, these are our Top Plays considering the following factors: Median projection, matchup, upside and value. Ownership is not considered here. Generally speaking, these players are what we consider to be “head-to-head and 50/50 considerations.” They are listed in price descending order (NOT ranked by “best play”). At the bottom, you’ll find suggested rankings by site once salary is accounted for.

 

Incentives/Back-to-Backs

Playoff Hunting: Portland Trail Blazers, Phoenix Suns
Seeding motivation: Miami Heat, Indiana Pacers, 
No Motivation: Dallas Mavericks, Milwaukee Bucks, Los Angeles Lakers

Front End: Los Angeles Clippers, Portland Trail Blazers
Back End: Utah Jazz

 

Point Guard

Damian Lillard ($10,000 DK/$9,700 FD) – Lillard has played 45, 44, 40, and 41 minutes in the first four games of the restart. The Blazers are on the front end of a back-to-back so IF the game gets out of hand the last rotation is in some small jeopardy but the lack of bench depth and the pursuit of the 8th/9th seed give Lillard an incredibly high floor on a slate with a lot of question marks. Lillard gets a matchup against a Clippers defense without Patrick Beverley and Kawhi Leonard. The Clippers are on the front end of a back-to-back and have very little motivation (possible positioning for second seed). With Lillard in the first game and the only stud with clear motivation, locking him into your point guard slot makes a lot of sense.

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