Last Updated: Sunday November 10th at 11:45am ET
Editor’s Note: We may not write up every player we consider to be a top play. Be sure to consult the chart at the bottom of the page. This article will be updated once on Sunday morning, if necessary.
You don’t have to play cash games to understand why it’s important to grasp them. Players we consider for cash are the ones we believe are the most underpriced, have the best floor/ceiling combo and feature a relatively tight range of outcomes. In other words, these are the best plays on the board once price, slate context and positional depth is accounted for. Those sound like pretty good options for GPPs as well.
The optimal GPP lineup will mix some of these cash-type plays with higher-variance options in correlated lineups. In cash games (where roughly 50% of the field gets paid out), we don’t worry about ownership or game stacks or correlation. In large-field tournaments, our ACO (average cumulative ownership) should stay reasonably low.
With all that said, these are our Top Plays considering the following factors: Median projection, matchup, upside and value. Ownership is not considered here. Generally speaking, these players are what we consider to be “head-to-head and 50/50 considerations.” They are listed in price descending order (NOT ranked by “best play”). At the bottom, you’ll find suggested rankings by site once salary is accounted for.
Lamar Jackson ($7300 DK, $8600 FD) — Bengals are dead last in yards per play allowed. Jackson has been in this article every single week thanks to an outrageous floor/ceiling combo. Has scored 26 or more DK points in 6-of-8 games.
Patrick Mahomes ($7000 DK, $8400 FD) — Practiced full all week as he comes off knee injury. Titans are without top defenders Jurrell Casey (shoulder) and Malcolm Butler (wrist).
Jameis Winston ($6800 DK, $7900 FD) — Ideal setup as both the Cardinals will match the Bucs’ pace and they play a lot of zone, which Winston has destroyed.
Drew Brees ($6700 DK, $8300 FD) — Saints offensive line will keep Brees extremely clean, as noted by Brandon Thorn. Falcons are 30th in yards per pass attempt allowed.
Kyler Murray ($6500 DK, $$7700 FD) — Bucs defense continues to operate as a massive pass funnel, ranking 26th DVOA against the pass and 1st against the run.
Christian McCaffrey ($10500 DK, $10500 FD) — Price continues to climb, now as the Panthers go on the road as a dog. Certainly easier to fit on soft-priced Fanduel. That said, matchup is tasty as Packers are 26th DVOA against the run and allowed the 7th-most receptions to RBs.
Saquon Barkley ($8800 DK, $8600 FD) — Daniel Jones’ willingness to throw at Barkley (23 targets in last three games) bodes very well in this plump matchup. Jets allow opponents to run the fourth-most plays per game.
Jaylen Samuels ($6300 DK, $6200 FD) — Averages a catch on 14% of his career NFL snaps. Again ticketed for monster role with James Conner (shoulder) and Benny Snell (knee) out. Far more expensive on DK (relatively), but also far better play in a full-PPR format.
David Montgomery ($5300 DK, $6400 FD) — Has 48 touches the last two weeks while Tarik Cohen has 11 and Mike Davis three. Now Montgomery gets a home game against a Lions defense ranked 22nd in rush defense DVOA.
Devin Singletary ($5000 DK, $6700 FD) — Out-snapped Frank Gore 40-17 in Week 8 when the Bills trailed much of the game. Out-snapped Gore 41-21 in Week 9 when the Bills led the whole game.
Ronald Jones ($4300 DK, $6300 FD) — Named the starter for Week 10 after passing up Peyton Barber in Week 9. Will lose pass-down work to Dare Ogunbowale and get breathers from Barber, but touch projection relative to price is strong. Arizona allows 4.41 YPC on the season and opponents run the 5th-most plays per game against them.
Michael Thomas ($8300 DK, $8700 FD) — As noted in Matchups, Thomas has at least 89 yards and/or a touchdown in all eight games this year. Falcons allowing 4th-most fantasy points per game to wideouts.
Mike Evans ($7600 DK, $8600 FD) and Chris Godwin ($7400 DK, $8200 FD) — Both Bucs wideouts are set up beautifully against struggling Patrick Peterson and the fast-paced Cardinals. Evans’ recent target share advantage makes him preferred for cash, but Godwin’s savings and reduced ownership a consideration for GPPs.
Christian Kirk ($5200 DK, $5700 FD) — Ideal matchup against the NFL’s biggest pass funnel. Kirk, averaging 8.6 targets per game, is by far Kyler Murray’s most explosive target.
AJ Brown ($4300 DK, $5500 FD) — With Corey Davis (hip) doubtful and Delanie Walker (ankle) out, target share gets pushed to Brown, Adam Humphries and Tajae Sharpe. Brown’s explosive size/speed combo is intriguing in a game the Titans will need to throw to keep up.
Travis Kelce ($6700 FD) — Difficult to fit on DraftKings, but stands out on Fanduel with Patrick Mahomes expected back. Kelce is tied for the league lead with nine targets inside the 10-yard line this season, but has zero TDs.
Austin Hooper ($5500 DK, $6600 FD) — Saints have been most susceptible in the slot, where Hooper leads all NFC TEs in routes run.
Mike Gesicki ($3100 DK) — Freak athlete lining up in the slot on the overwhelming majority of his snaps. Ranks third among all tight ends in Air Yards over last four weeks.
Rhett Ellison ($2500 DK) — With Evan Engram out, we can project the slow-footed and stone-handed Ellison to play every snap. A punt option specific to DraftKings.
Ravens ($4000 DK, $5000 FD) — Ryan Finley’s first NFL start comes without AJ Green (ankle) and against one of the league’s most talented secondaries.
Saints ($3700 DK, $5000 FD) — Top DL>OL mismatch from Thorn this week. And we can project Matt Ryan to be among the slate’s leaders in dropbacks thanks to the Falcons’ offensive identity plus the probability they’re playing from behind.
Colts ($3500 DK, $4900 FD) — The talent-devoid Dolphins have taken the third-most sacks in the league and thrown the most interceptions. And they’ve already had their bye.
Steelers ($2600 DK, $4100 FD) — One of the league’s premier pass rush units is at home against a quietly struggling Jared Goff – whose struggles are accentuated by pressure.
Browns ($2500 DK, $3500 FD) — Mistake-prone Josh Allen goes on the road to face Brandon Thorn’s 8th-best DL in generating pressure.
|1||Lamar Jackson||Lamar Jackson|
|2||Jameis Winston||Jameis Winston|
|3||Patrick Mahomes||Kyler Murray|
|4||Kyler Murray||Drew Brees|
|5||Ryan Tannehill||Patrick Mahomes|
|1||Damien Williams||Damien Williams|
|2||David Montgomery||David Montgomery|
|3||Ronald Jones||Saquon Barkley|
|4||Devin Singletary||Christian McCaffrey|
|5||Alvin Kamara||Alvin Kamara|
|6||Jaylen Samuels||Jaylen Samuels|
|7||Christian McCaffrey||Le’Veon Bell|
|8||Saquon Barkley||Aaron Jones|
|1||Michael Thomas||Michael Thomas|
|2||A.J. Brown||A.J. Brown|
|3||Mike Evans||Christian Kirk|
|4||Chris Godwin||Mike Evans|
|5||Jarvis Landry||Chris Godwin|
|6||Christian Kirk||D.J. Moore|
|7||Davante Adams||Marquise Brown|
|1||Rhett Ellison||Travis Kelce|
|2||Mike Gesicki||Austin Hooper|
|3||Jonnu Smith||Jonnu Smith|
|4||Travis Kelce||Mark Andrews|
|5||Jack Doyle||Eric Ebron|