Welcome to the 12th edition of GPP Leverage for NFL DFS. This article is going to be a catch-all space for my GPP thoughts during the course of the NFL season. In this space, we’ll mix some macro and micro concepts to help improve your odds in tournaments. The goal is to differentiate your play in an intelligent and correlated way that gives you a better chance to get paid off when you’re right.
I think it’s important to note I’m not a football guy who plays DFS. I’m a professional DFS player who plays NFL. So my play is largely through the prism of using resources around me to do what I do best: Play the game of DFS within the context of the NFL. Whether this is you or you’re a football guy who has a better handle on the schemes and the mismatches, there should be something in here for you to improve your game as a DFS GPP player.
DFS Optimizer? We do not have an optimizer, but we have a promotional deal with FantasyLabs. For $30 per month, you will gain access to their optimizer and it will come pre-loaded with both ETR projections and Adam Levitan’s ownership projections. Click here for details.
WEEK 11 ANALYSIS
Week 11 presented some unique challenges with our highest owned player of the year (68% owned Taysom Hill on FD), a different QB pool to work with than most weeks, and chalk condensing on a high-priced RB in Dalvin Cook. Our approach was as follows:
- Play Taysom Hill aggressively on FanDuel if he’s the starting QB
- Consider pivoting from a chalky Dalvin Cook to a low-owned Derrick Henry
- If playing Dalvin Cook, consider adding correlation around him in a sneaky DAL-MIN game stack
- Target heavy passing-script games for secondary game stacks, particularly in PIT-JAX, but CIN-WAS also fits the mold if ownership is under control