Large-Field GPP Breakdown: Tour Championship

Ah, the finals. Normally, the playoffs excite most people in the major sports, but if you asked Discord judge THE Kyle? No one is excited for these playoffs. While Kyle huffs and puffs about having smaller events for the playoffs, we get to play DFS with a whopping 30 players in the field this week. This is going to be quite difficult, I’d imagine. But before we get there, we get to recap an exciting week at the BMW Championship, where we got to see Scottie Scheffler win ANOTHER tournament in 2025. No one tell Phil Mickelson how many times he’s won. Anyways, this article will likely be a little bit shorter than most given the amount of players in this tournament, but at least we are getting some decent prize pools on DK. 

BMW Championship – Recap

It was an interesting week in DFS at the BMW, where we were faced with a decision on Scottie Scheffler in a pool of 50 players. Despite projected ownership in the mid 20s, Scheffler rose again to about 35-40% across the board, depending on which contests you were playing in. He is at the point where, no matter what the algorithm says (in classic), he’s likely to take on more ownership as people just feel safer picking him for what seems like a guaranteed T3 or better these days. However, I thought the week was quite interesting because of what lineups ended up winning the lotto as well as the Drive The Green. Let’s take a quick look at the lotto winner with some commentary:

• It featured a 10/8/8/7/7/7 lineup that left only $100 on the table and skipped the winner, Scottie Scheffler, in the $13K range. The top three in the lotto actually all skipped Scheffler, which will lead me to some thoughts later on for the upcoming Tour finals at East Lake. 
• The lineup featured an ~81% cumulative ownership, below the range I mapped out in my article last week but within the range that I talked about in Discord afterwards as people were asking me questions. In a field as small as last week’s, I’m not sure how helpful a cumulative ownership range was in hindsight, but it’s just important to note either way. 
• I would like to note that in the DTG, the winning lineup was 13 points better than the winner in the lotto and included Scottie Scheffler in it. However, it was duped three times. That lineup was obviously not played in the lottery, meaning that it would have been unique had any of those four players played it in the lotto. This is a very interesting debate as we go into this week knowing that the lotto is actually not the largest-field tournament out there.

What’s interesting is that even with only 50 players to choose from, you still did not need to have the optimal lineup to win the lottery. With 30 players this week, that becomes much harder to do and will be an interesting thought exercise going into it. Additionally, it’s important to note that the winning lineup last week had the following final placements — T4, T26, second, seventh, sixth, and third. So, basically five of the top seven and a decent kicker. I’d expect this week to be even better. 

Tour Championship at East Lake – Preview