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Atlanta @ Tampa Bay

Team Totals: Bucs 23.5, Falcons 21

Michael Penix Jr. faces a surging Bucs defense; Todd Bowles’ unit has allowed an average of 18 points over its last four games, notably stymying the otherwise hot offenses of Dallas, Carolina, and Green Bay. Only five defenses have surrendered fewer fantasy QB points than Tampa Bay’s. Penix poses no rushing threat and has one of the thinnest pass-catcher corps in the league. He’s just a QB2. … Brian Robinson Jr. (hamstring) looks likely to miss another game. In Brian’s Week 7 absence, Bijan Robinson handled 25 touches on an 81% playing-time clip in Atlanta’s upset of the 49ers. The Bucs are playing stout run defense as usual, but they have coughed up the NFL’s third-most receptions to running backs (38). Bijan’s last three receiving lines against Bowles’ defense are 8/82/0, 6/100/1, and 7/43/1.

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