Wild Card Saturday
4:30 PM ET Game
L.A. Chargers @ Houston
Team Totals: Chargers 22.5, Texans 20
Justin Herbert enters Saturday’s date with the Texans beneath Houston’s NRG Stadium roof on a tear, having completed 77 of 105 passes (73%) for 911 yards (8.7 YPA) and a 7:1 TD-to-INT ratio over Los Angeles’ last three games. Averaging 27.3 rushing yards, Herbert closed 2024’s regular season as fantasy’s overall QB5 in that Weeks 16-18 stretch. … Back from I.R. two weeks ago, J.K. Dobbins immediately reasserted himself as the Bolts’ bellcow by averaging 20.5 touches for 79 yards and 0.5 TDs in wins over the Patriots and Raiders. The Texans surrendered the NFL’s fifth-fewest fantasy points to running backs this regular season, but this profiles as a neutral- to positive-script affair for the Chargers in which Dobbins should again be ridden hard. I’m anticipating another outing of 20+ touches.
Ladd McConkey enters Week 19 having topped 80 yards and/or scored a touchdown in seven straight games while netting fantasy’s cumulative WR10 score in per-game PPR points since Week 8. As McConkey runs 65% of his routes in the slot, he should avoid Texans stud outside CBs Derek Stingley Jr. and Kamari Lassiter on the majority of this game’s snaps. … As perimeter cover men, Stingley and Lassiter are far likelier to deal with Week 18 breakout Quentin Johnston, who runs 91% of his routes outside. On paper, this game adds up nicely in Herbert and McConkey’s favor. … Will Dissly is the Chargers’ tight end to bet on if you’re touchdown hunting and/or seeking out a Herbert attachment.
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