CFB DFS Top Plays: Conference Championships – Saturday Main

Editor’s Note: We may not write up every player we consider to be a top play. Be sure to consult the chart at the bottom of the page. This page will be updated as necessary.

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Understanding optimal lineups for cash games is extremely important, even if you only play tournaments. Players in our cash pool are the ones we believe are the most underpriced, have the best floor/ceiling combo, and typically feature a relatively tight range of outcomes. These are the best plays on the board when considering price, context, and positional scarcity. These are usually pretty good options for GPPs as well.

The optimal GPP lineup will typically mix some of these cash-type plays with higher-variance options, often in correlated lineups. In cash games (where roughly 50% of the field gets paid out), we don’t worry about ownership, game stacks, or correlation. In large-field tournaments, we should be much more mindful of ownership. For more tournament content, check out our projections, and Friday’s live show, Establish The Show: The College Years, with Alex Hardin and Sean Newsham.

With all that said, these are our Top Plays considering the following factors: mean projection, matchup, upside, and value. Ownership is NOT considered here. Generally speaking, these players are what we consider to be “head-to-head and 50/50 considerations”.

They are listed in price descending order (NOT ranked by “best play”). At the bottom, you’ll find suggested rankings by site once salary is accounted for.

QUARTERBACK

Jayden Maiava (UNLV – DK $6,800) – We think there is not much opportunity cost at quarterback this week, so it’s definitely a week you can go off the board a bit. Maiava does have a pretty solid matchup, team total, and price, so those struggling with the decision may end up defaulting to the UNLV signal-caller. Maiava has some mobility, but he does not look to run often, however, he does push the ball downfield fairly often, especially to Ricky White. He has one of the safer floors versus price of the slate. GPP Recommendation: 1 to 2 pass catchers in stack.

Gunnar Watson (TROY – DK $6,000) – Watson has a reasonable floor/ceiling, but the real appeal is the price tag, which allows you to build a comfortable lineup at running back and wide receiver. The cheaper Troy wide receivers will be popular, so that will naturally float the ownership of Watson due to how easy it is to stack. GPP Recommendation: 1 to 2 pass catchers in stack.

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