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Editor’s Note: All Draft Kit subscribers will receive a free credit on Underdog Fantasy Best Ball. For details on how to claim your credit, click here.

Editor’s Note 2: Our Bundle Package is live here! Combines the Draft Kit and the In-Season package at a limited time discount. 

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Below are the ETR Dynasty Rookie Draft Rankings. For our full Dynasty rankings, CLICK HERE.

Rookie Evaluation Philosophy

  • Leading up to the NFL Draft, it is important to put together a profile for each prospect that can be applied to the draft position once it is known.
  • My profiles are done primarily through statistics, but there is also value in understanding where players win through watching them, and reading the analysis of trusted scouts.
  • We look holistically at prospects, attempting to develop a sound range of outcomes to understand prospects through probabilities.
  • Age and experience both matter for all prospects, but will vary in degree by position.

Positional Philosophy

QB

  • This is the position we think we are the worst at evaluating.
  • We are leaning the most on draft position here.
  • Statistically, we like to see high adjusted yards per pass attempt (AY/A), but trying to avoid small sample size biases.
  • Rushing ability matters a ton given both the overall direction of the position, and the built-in floor.

RB

  • Landing spot matters the most here. We want immediate volume if we can get it.
  • Prefer to see a strong receiving resume, but a lack of collegiate receptions does not prevent a prospect from doing it at the next level.
  • Adjusted yards per team play ([rushing yards + 2*receiving yards]/plays) the most valued statistic.
  • 40 time and speed score matter, but perhaps only inasmuch as they relate to draft position.

WR

  • Position we can develop the most reliable statistical profile for.
  • Breakout age and year (based on 30% dominator rating threshold) most important statistic.
  • Total years out of high school matters a ton: three-year players wildly more successful than every other group.
  • Receiving yards per team pass attempt preferred production statistic.

TE

  • Not a ton of data on TEs due to small sample size of prospects.
  • Care a lot about athleticism — we want TEs who can create mis-matches.
  • Any TE who can come close to the WR breakout thresholds needs to be taken notice of.
  • Need to pay attention to scouting profiles to see if players are more blocker than receiver.

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Our team of analysts, led by Evan Silva and Adam Levitan, create content and rankings including Silva’s Top-150 and Tiers, cheat sheets, strategy articles, full team previews and podcasts for most fantasy formats, including typical home leagues, auction, 2-QB, best ball and other online paid leagues. While this Draft Kit is for competitive fantasy players, we’ve made it fun and easy to consume.

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