San Francisco @ Atlanta
Team Totals: 49ers 26, Falcons 23
Still extremely short-handed minus Mike Evans (Achilles) and Deebo Samuel (hamstring), plus a slew of other ancillary pass catchers, I have the undefeated 49ers at severe upset risk visiting Atlanta on a short week for a 1:00 p.m. ET game following last Monday night’s close call against Washington. The Falcons, meanwhile, return home from a road loss to the Bears on full rest. Brock Purdy’s top three wideouts will be 33-year-old Brandin Cooks, second-year fourth-round pick Jordan Watkins, and third-year fourth-rounder Jacob Cowing, while Falcons top CB A.J. Terrell (groin) appears due back. Purdy has played at a near-MVP level so far this season, but I’m downgrading him into fringe QB1/2 territory due to the weapons shortage. … The Falcons are 13th in fantasy points allowed to running backs and have given up the NFL’s fourth-most receptions (32) to Christian McCaffrey’s position. Among RBs, only Kyren Williams has more catches (30) than CMC’s 28. McCaffrey is an elite RB1 play. … Kaelon Black’s last four touch counts are 9 > 6 > 6 > 4. He remains a Tier 1 handcuff.
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