Carolina @ Tampa Bay
Team Totals: Bucs 21, Panthers 18
Week 17’s second-lowest-totaled game, Panthers-Bucs projects as a fantasy-unfriendly affair. … Sam Darnold deserves credit for his high-efficiency play through four 2022 starts — he’s averaging a career-best 8.6 yards per pass attempt with six all-purpose TDs and zero turnovers — yet Darnold’s weekly fantasy finishes are QB16, QB20, QB20, and QB8 as part of Carolina’s extreme run-first attack. Darnold has attempted fewer than 25 passes in all four of his starts. … Under Steve Wilks, Carolina’s philosophy has been clear: The Panthers want to play stout defense and run the ball voluminously. Over Carolina’s last six games, D’Onta Foreman has averaged 19.8 touches compared to 10.7 for Chuba Hubbard. Foreman’s utter lack of receiving involvement keeps his floor low, even if his rushing-attempts ceiling is sky high should Carolina keep this game close. … On Darnold’s 2022 throws, D.J. Moore is predictably dominating Panthers targets (22), catches (14), yards (259), TDs (3), and first-down conversions (13). Moore will have his hands full with Bucs top CB Carlton Davis here, rendering him a boom-bust WR2.
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