Last updated: October 10th at 7:55am ET
Team Totals: Redskins 22, Dolphins 19
Refusing to give up after Jay Gruden’s firing and having determined No. 15 overall pick Dwayne Haskins isn’t ready to play, the now-Bill Callahan-coached Redskins will turn back to Case Keenum as the signal caller they believe gives Washington its best chance to win. As Miami’s pass defense was drilled for QB1 (Lamar Jackson), QB5 (Tom Brady), QB7 (Dak Prescott), and QB11 (Philip Rivers) fantasy results in Weeks 1-4, Keenum offers legitimate season-long streamer appeal and DFS-tournament discussion in stacks with Terry McLaurin. Respectably, Keenum was fantasy’s overall QB9 before his unceremonious Week 4 in-game benching. … In a game the Redskins should finally win, Adrian Peterson has room for actual optimism. Callahan has made it clear he wants Washington to amass more run-game volume, while the Fins have been pounded for 129/617/5 (4.78 YPC) rushing by enemy backs. Albeit still quite touchdown reliant, Peterson is a gambling man’s RB2 play in this plus draw. … All told, backfields facing the Fins have averaged a whopping 37 touches per game, indicating both Peterson and Chris Thompson have realistic shots at paying Week 6 fantasy dividends. Enemy backs average 10.7 yards per catch and have four receiving TDs in four games against Miami. Thompson is a PPR-specific flex with RB2 upside.
Keenum’s target distribution: Thompson 25; McLaurin 24; Trey Quinn 23; Paul Richardson 20; Vernon Davis 17; Jeremy Sprinkle 6; Peterson 5; Steven Sims and Wendell Smallwood 3; Kelvin Harmon 2. … McLaurin returned at full Week 5 strength after missing Week 4 with a hamstring injury, drawing a team-high seven targets on a season-high 95% snap rate. Dolphins top CB Xavien Howard had a rough first month, surrendering completions on 14-of-18 targets (78%) for 162 yards (9.0 YPA) and two TDs. McLaurin has caught all three of his touchdowns and 83% of his yards from Keenum. … Quinn warrants PPR-specific WR4/flex consideration with target counts of 6 > 7 > 7 in Keenum’s three full games facing a Dolphins defense that has allowed 23 completions on 29 slot targets (79%) for 403 yards (13.9 YPA) and five TDs. Quinn runs 81% of his routes in the slot. … The matchup is right for a dart throw on Richardson, but he’s finished with 50 yards or fewer in 10-of-12 games (83%) as a Redskin. I’d think of him as a boom-bust WR4. … Assuming he gets cleared, Davis (concussion) is a viable Week 6 streamer; Dolphins opponents are 24-of-27 passing (89%) for 314 yards (11.6 YPA) and a touchdown when targeting tight ends. Davis has played over 70% of the Redskins’ offensive snaps in all four of his 2019 appearances.
This is a rare opportunity to stream the Redskins’ D/ST; all four defenses to face Miami have banked top-12 fantasy weeks. … At the same time, two-quarterback leaguers may not catch a better opportunity to fire up Josh Rosen for the rest of the year; 4-of-5 signal callers to face Washington have logged top-13 results, while Rosen had extra time to build rapport with his supporting cast during the Dolphins’ Week 5 bye. … It’s also a plus draw for Kenyan Drake, who enters Week 6 with double-digit touches in three straight games (11 > 15 > 12), while Washington is permitting an unimposing 4.30 yards per carry and the NFL’s eighth-most catches per game (6.2) to running backs. Drake is a dicey if viable PPR-oriented flex option in one of the best matchups he’ll get all year. … Popping as Week 6’s No. 2 buy-low player in Josh Hermsmeyer’s Air Yards Model, Preston Williams offers breakout-game potential with a team-high 20 targets on Rosen passes. Fellow WRs DeSean Jackson (8/154/2), Julian Edelman (8/110/1), Sterling Shepard (7/76/0), Taylor Gabriel (6/75/3), Devin Smith (3/74/1), Michael Gallup (6/68/0), Allen Robinson (6/60/0), Alshon Jeffery (5/49/2), and Amari Cooper (4/44/1) have all paid dividends versus Washington. … DeVante Parker played the same number of pre-bye Week 4 snaps as Williams (43) and delivered a season-best 4/70/1 receiving line against the Chargers. Parker’s 14 targets rank second most on the team on Rosen passes, giving Parker boom-bust WR4 appeal in this plum draw with Washington.
Score Prediction: Redskins 24, Dolphins 23