Last updated: December 7th at 9:30am ET
Team Totals: Eagles 28, Giants 18
Even as Evan Engram (MCL) and Golden Tate (concussion) return to bolster his arsenal, Eli Manning’s greatest fantasy appeal applies to streamer situations for Philadelphia’s D/ST. The Eagles lead the NFL in quarterback hits (90), while far-more-athletic Daniel Jones faced pressure behind the Giants’ offensive line at the league’s second-highest rate (43%) in Weeks 3-13. Statuesque Manning is especially likely to struggle under duress in this hostile road affair. … Eli does return to a near-full arsenal on Monday night, giving Manning a chance to finish his career with a winning record currently deadlocked at 116-116. … Philly’s run-tough front is no secret, yet nor are Saquon Barkley’s struggles with four straight scoreless games and a generational 2.94 yards per carry since Week 2. After the Eagles, the G-Men host the Fins and Skins consecutively, so you couldn’t dream up a better stretch-run layup for sputtering Saquon.
Eli’s 2019 target distribution: Engram 21; Bennie Fowler 15; Barkley 13; Cody Latimer 12; Shepard 7; Cody Core and T.J. Jones 5; Rhett Ellison 2. … Injuries have prevented Engram from facing the Eagles since 2017, but he smashed them for stat lines of 8/101/0 > 5/45/0 in their first two meetings. Due back from his foot injury, Engram appears on track to start as an elite TE1 on Monday night. … As the Eagles’ secondary has surrendered 100-plus-yard performances to eight different wide receivers in 12 games, Tate, Shepard, and rookie Darius Slayton offer varying levels of fantasy intrigue with Shepard at the top based on his longstanding rapport with Eli, Tate close behind based on his highly productive 2019 play and revenge narrative versus Philly, and Slayton’s big-play potential with 4.39 jets against the Eagles’ slow secondary. I like Shepard as a locked-in WR2, Tate as a WR3, and Slayton as a boom-bust WR4/flex.
Last week’s QB8 score against the downtrodden Dolphins ended Carson Wentz’s streak of five straight fantasy results of QB17 or worse. Monday night gives Wentz a huge opportunity to build on last week’s improvement against a Giants defense that projects to provide Wentz a mostly-clean pocket, ranking 21st in sack rate (6.3%) and 18th in QB Hit Rate (15.5%). Facing the G-Men has been extremely profitable all year for passing games; eight straight quarterbacks to face DC James Bettcher’s unit have banked top-ten fantasy scores. … With Jordan Howard (stinger) still on the shelf and street FA Jay Ajayi posing nearly no threat for touches, Miles Sanders once again projects as Philadelphia’s every-down back after logging playing-time clips above 85% in three straight games entering Week 14. On average, the Giants are giving up 141.0 total yards per game to enemy backs, while Sanders’ bellcow usage has been barely threatened by teammates. He’s an upside RB2 with plus versatility in an unimposing Monday night spot.
Wentz’s Week 13 target distribution: Alshon Jeffery 16; Dallas Goedert 7; Zach Ertz and Nelson Agholor 6; Sanders 5; Greg Ward 3; J.J. Arcega-Whiteside 2. … Even after a monster Week 13 versus Miami (9/137/1), Jeffery’s forward-thinking outlook is more complicated facing the Giants’ secondary. Janoris Jenkins has been Jeffery’s primary foe for years, yet Alshon’s last four stat lines versus the G-Men are 3/39/0 > 8/74/2 > 4/49/1 > 4/56/0. Alshon has moved back into WR2/3 territory. … My favorite Week 13 Eagles pass-catcher play is Agholor, who is popping in Josh Hermsmeyer’s Air Yards Model. Agholor came off Philly’s Week 12 bye playing 88% of the team’s offensive snaps, and the Giants have been shredded in the slot all year. … Ertz (hamstring) played 74% of last week’s offensive snaps and isn’t even listed on this week’s injury report, putting Ertz right back into Week 14’s elite tight end mix. … Goedert’s arrow is pointing down with Philly’s wideouts becoming increasingly healthy, but the Eagles’ No. 2 tight end remains on fantasy’s TE1 fringe. Averaging 4.6 catches with three TDs over Philly’s last seven games, Goedert is never a terrible streamer. … Here’s how Week 13 Eagles pass-catcher routes run were distributed against Miami: Jeffery and Agholor 44; Ertz 38; Goedert 21; Ward 20; Arcega-Whiteside 14.
Score Prediction: Eagles 17, Giants 16