DFS Top Plays: Week 11

You don’t have to play cash games to understand why it’s important to grasp them. Players we consider for cash are the ones we believe are the most underpriced, have the best floor/ceiling combo, and feature a relatively tight range of outcomes.

In other words, these are the best plays on the board once price, slate context, and positional depth are accounted for. Those sound like pretty good options for GPPs as well.

The optimal GPP lineup will mix some of these cash-type plays with higher-variance options in correlated lineups. In cash games (where roughly 50% of the field gets paid out), we don’t worry about ownership, game stacks, or correlation. In large-field tournaments, our ACO (average cumulative ownership) should stay reasonably low. Please read this article and listen to Episode 619 of the podcast for more on large-field tournament strategy.

For more tournament content, check out our projections, Gary Hartman’s GPP Leverage Article, and Saturday’s Establish The Million show with Drew Dinkmeyer and Mike Leone.

With all that said, these are our Top Plays considering the following factors: median projection, matchup, upside, and value. Ownership is NOT considered here. Generally speaking, these players are what we consider to be “head-to-head and 50/50 considerations”.

They are listed in price descending order (NOT ranked by “best play”). At the bottom, you’ll find suggested rankings by site once salary is accounted for.

QUARTERBACK

Kyler Murray ($6,100 DK, $7,600 FD – It was a pleasant surprise to not only see Kyler Murray look pretty good throwing the ball for his first time on the football field in 11 months, but he also wasn’t afraid to move around the pocket and run the ball a bit. Murray ended up with a 6/33/1 line on the ground and dropped back to throw 32 times. He’s still far too cheap for his ceiling, especially in a landscape where QBs are dropping like flies. Sign us up for Murray in a great matchup with Houston, who finds themselves perpetually in shootout environments.

Brock Purdy ($5,800 DK, $7,500 FD) – Purdy has established a weekly floor for himself, especially in matchups with lesser opponents like the 49ers have this week at home against Tampa Bay. His supporting cast is as healthy as it’s been (all of CMC, Deebo, Aiyuk, Kittle, and Trent Williams look good to go), and he’s going against the same Bucs team that gave up the legendary 470-yard, five-touchdown performance to C.J. Stroud two weeks ago. Especially at sub-$6K, Purdy is a top option for cash games this week.

RUNNING BACK