UFL Top Plays: Week 4

Editor’s Note: We may not write up every player we consider to be a top play. Be sure to consult the chart at the bottom of the page. This page will be updated, if necessary.

You don’t have to play cash games to understand why it’s important to grasp them. Players we consider for cash are the ones we believe are the most underpriced, have the best floor/ceiling combo, and feature a relatively tight range of outcomes.

In other words, these are the best plays on the board once price, slate context, and positional depth are accounted for. Those sound like pretty good options for GPPs as well.

The optimal GPP lineup will mix some of these cash-type plays with higher-variance options in correlated lineups. In cash games (where roughly 50% of the field gets paid out), we don’t worry about ownership or game stacks or correlation. In large-field tournaments, our ACO (average cumulative ownership) should stay reasonably low. Please read this article and listen to Episode 237 of the podcast for more on large-field tournament strategy.

With all that said, these are our Top Plays considering the following factors: median projection, matchup, upside, and value. Ownership is NOT considered here. Generally speaking, these players are what we consider to be “head-to-head and 50/50 considerations.”

QUARTERBACK

Jason Bean ($9,500) – Austin Reed is going to be an omnipresent name on this list most of the season, given the nature of Dallas’ offense, and it goes without saying that, through three weeks, he’s the league’s safest option at the QB position. We wanted to highlight Bean here to lay out what is ultimately a very wide range of outcomes that normally doesn’t lend itself to ‘top plays’ discussion. Bean has already split time with backup QB Chandler Rogers in Week 2 and Louisville is 0-3, looking for offensive answers. Fortunately, Bean was back under center for all of the Kings’ Week 3 offensive snaps, and we don’t think he is to blame for their lack of success. Bean has completed just 46.6% of his passes, but his high-variance nature is exactly what makes him an attractive DFS option, boasting a league-high 13.2-yard aDOT and nine Big Time Throws, according to PFF. He’s also adding enough with his legs to be a net positive in that category, boasting a 22.2% share of Louisville’s rushing attempts. Sure, Reed is the safer, preferred option in cash-game contests, but even in small-field GPPs, Bean offers a ceiling that can break the slate.