We’re approaching the midseason point, which means that most awards races have narrowed down to just a handful of candidates. In this column, we’ll discuss a few value options with realistic paths to winning their respective race. Then, we’ll discuss a few key points in various awards markets. We’ll also discuss various races like the Offensive Rookie of the Year and Coach of the Year markets on our awards show later this week.
MVP: Josh Allen (+1200 to +1500 Caesars)
The MVP race still has seven quarterbacks with a realistic path to victory with half the season left. That said, Allen is second in the NFL in passing touchdowns, total EPA, fifth in rating, and first in QBR for the 5-3 Bills. When isolating the numbers that seem to matter the most for MVP voters, Allen and Tua Tagovailoa have laid the best MVP foundations to this point.
OROY: Jahmyr Gibbs (+1000 to +1600 BetMGM)
I have some bad news for you C.J. Stroud (-175) backers: His production has been trending down for three consecutive weeks. He’s thrown for less than 200 yards in each of the last two games. He’s more vulnerable to a surging skill-position player on a competitive team than most think. Now, there are three things you need to know before considering a Gibbs bet. The first is Detroit enters their bye week in Week 8, so Gibbs’ OROY odds may actually be more appealing a week from now. Second, David Montgomery will likely return to action after the Lions’ bye. Once he does, Detroit’s backfield likely becomes a split. Third, Bijan Robinson’s fate is in the hands of a madman, but he has a minor production edge on Gibbs heading into Week 9.
OPOY: A.J. Brown (+ 600 to +1000 DraftKings)
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